Public trading strategy
XLE Macro Regime Pair (Long Energy / Short Gold) Strategy
Created
Thesis
Normally war worries would push gold up as a safe haven, but right now the oil shock is feeding directly into rate-hike expectations — gold is actually holding losses. Oil and bond yields are moving in lockstep for the first time in seven years, meaning every dollar of oil strength tightens financial conditions and hurts a non-yielding asset like gold. Meanwhile the same oil shock is a direct tailwind for energy producers and tanker stocks, which have already shown explosive gains. A long-energy, short-gold pair captures both sides of this unusual regime without betting on overall market direction.
Strategy approach
Normally war worries would push gold up as a safe haven, but right now the oil shock is feeding directly into rate-hike expectations — gold is actually holding losses. Oil and bond yields are moving in lockstep for the first time in seven years, meaning every dollar of oil strength tightens financial conditions and hurts a non-yielding asset like gold. Meanwhile the same oil shock is a direct tailwind for energy producers and tanker stocks, which have already shown explosive gains. A long-energy, short-gold pair captures both sides of this unusual regime without betting on overall market direction. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
GDX · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
GLD · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) below 30 — far
XLE · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) below 30 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA Crossover Long (GLD@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: EMA Crossover Long (GLD@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (XLE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (GLD@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xle",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gld",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_xle",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_gld",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_xle",
"name": "Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_gld",
"name": "Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xle",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_gld",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xle",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gld",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xle",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gld",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.420769230769231
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.841538461538462
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.420769230769231,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xle",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gld",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_xle",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_gld",
"name": "EMA Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_xle",
"name": "Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_gld",
"name": "Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xle",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_gld",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xle",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gld",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xle",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gld",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.420769230769231
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.841538461538462
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.420769230769231,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Normally war worries would push gold up as a safe haven, but right now the oil shock is feeding directly into rate-hike expectations — gold is actually holding losses. Oil and bond yields are moving in lockstep for the first time in seven years, meaning e'. Thesis: Normally war worries would push gold up as a safe haven, but right now the oil shock is feeding directly into rate-hike expectations — gold is actually holding losses. Oil and bond yields are moving in lockstep for the first time in seven years, meaning every dollar of oil strength tightens financial conditions and hurts a non-yielding asset like gold. Meanwhile the same oil shock is a direct tailwind for energy producers and tanker stocks, which have already shown explosive gains. A long-energy, short-gold pair captures both sides of this unusual regime without betting on overall market direction.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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