Tesla crushes delivery estimates while chip stocks tank — rotate into the EV com
Created
Thesis
Tesla just crushed delivery estimates with 480,126 vehicles, renewing investor confidence in the company's ability to recover from previous sales declines. At the same time, CNBC and Bloomberg report that the massive AI chip rally that dominated the last quarter is hitting a wall, with chipmakers struggling through a two-day skid. When investors sell high-flying chip stocks to lock in profits, they often rotate that cash into the next best story. Because the Dow hit record highs on the same day tech slipped, it proves money is staying in the market rather than leaving it. Tesla's positive momentum makes it a prime candidate to absorb this rotating capital.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long TSLA on D1 when TSLA gains more than 3% on a day where the Semiconductor ETF (SMH) drops more than 1.5%. Exit conditions: 15% price target or 7% stop loss, 21-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
TSLA · 1d
1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 3 — met
- ROC (1) below -1.5 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Chip-to-TSLA Rotation Long (TSLA@1d, SMH down >1.5%) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 15% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 7% (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop: 21-Day Max Hold (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Chip-to-TSLA Rotation Long (TSLA@1d, SMH down >1.5%)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TSLA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 15
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 15%",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Time Stop: 21-Day Max Hold",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Chip-to-TSLA Rotation Long (TSLA@1d, SMH down >1.5%)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TSLA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 15
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 15%",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Time Stop: 21-Day Max Hold",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tesla crushes delivery estimates while chip stocks tank — rotate into the EV comeback'. Thesis: Tesla just crushed delivery estimates with 480,126 vehicles, renewing investor confidence in the company's ability to recover from previous sales declines. At the same time, CNBC and Bloomberg report that the massive AI chip rally that dominated the last quarter is hitting a wall, with chipmakers struggling through a two-day skid. When investors sell high-flying chip stocks to lock in profits, they often rotate that cash into the next best story. Because the Dow hit record highs on the same day tech slipped, it proves money is staying in the market rather than leaving it. Tesla's positive momentum makes it a prime candidate to absorb this rotating capital.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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