Public trading strategy
AI chip panic was overdone — Micron's blowout earnings spark a rebound in beaten
Created
Thesis
Earlier this week, the Nasdaq tumbled over 2.4% as a widespread chip selloff gripped Wall Street, leading many to believe the AI trade was cooling off. That panic was directly challenged by Micron's blockbuster earnings report, which locked in $100 billion of AI memory demand and sent the stock soaring 17%. Because memory chip demand is driving this rally, neighboring suppliers like SanDisk and Western Digital are surging alongside Micron. The combination of recent fear-driven price drops and suddenly explosive fundamental demand creates a perfect catch-up opportunity for the memory suppliers who were unfairly punished just days prior.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long WDC and SNDK on D1 when MU gaps up >10% on earnings and the broader semiconductor sector (SMH) had declined >5% over the prior 5 trading sessions. Exit on a 8% profit target or 4% stop loss, with a max hold of 10 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above 110 — met
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above 110 — met
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
SNDK · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above 110 — met
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above 110 — met
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
WDC · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above 110 — met
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — near
- Price above 110 — met
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/ADX Signal Long (SMH@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX Signal Long (MU@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX Signal Long (WDC@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX Signal Long (SNDK@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (WDC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SNDK@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (WDC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SNDK@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 4.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 8.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SNDK",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_wdc",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SNDK",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SNDK",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sndk",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (SNDK@1d)",
"priority": 6,
"trade_symbol": "SNDK"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_wdc",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sndk",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SNDK@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SNDK"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_smh",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_wdc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sndk",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SNDK@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SNDK"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 8.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4613,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SNDK",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_wdc",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 110
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SNDK",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SNDK",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sndk",
"name": "ROC/ADX Signal Long (SNDK@1d)",
"priority": 6,
"trade_symbol": "SNDK"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_wdc",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sndk",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SNDK@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SNDK"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_smh",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_wdc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sndk",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SNDK@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SNDK"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 8.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4613,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'AI chip panic was overdone — Micron's blowout earnings spark a rebound in beaten-down memory stocks'. Thesis: Earlier this week, the Nasdaq tumbled over 2.4% as a widespread chip selloff gripped Wall Street, leading many to believe the AI trade was cooling off. That panic was directly challenged by Micron's blockbuster earnings report, which locked in $100 billion of AI memory demand and sent the stock soaring 17%. Because memory chip demand is driving this rally, neighboring suppliers like SanDisk and Western Digital are surging alongside Micron. The combination of recent fear-driven price drops and suddenly explosive fundamental demand creates a perfect catch-up opportunity for the memory suppliers who were unfairly punished just days prior.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies