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Public trading strategy

CRWV Confirmation-Gated Trend Short Strategy

Created

Thesis

CoreWeave's entire business model depends on borrowing huge sums now and earning AI revenue later — it just launched a $3 billion convertible bond issue plus a share-sale vehicle, meaning it must tap markets repeatedly. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5% and officials describing high yields as the 'new normal,' each funding round gets costlier and more dilutive. Companies with promised future revenue and heavy upfront spending are exactly the ones punished in a high-rate regime, so the stock faces a structural headwind rather than a one-day headline. Shorting into new yield highs while the stock sits below its 20-day average aligns the trade with both the funding squeeze and weak price momentum.

Strategy approach

CoreWeave's entire business model depends on borrowing huge sums now and earning AI revenue later — it just launched a $3 billion convertible bond issue plus a share-sale vehicle, meaning it must tap markets repeatedly. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5% and officials describing high yields as the 'new normal,' each funding round gets costlier and more dilutive. Companies with promised future revenue and heavy upfront spending are exactly the ones punished in a high-rate regime, so the stock faces a structural headwind rather than a one-day headline. Shorting into new yield highs while the stock sits below its 20-day average aligns the trade with both the funding squeeze and weak price momentum. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method,…

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

CRWV · 1d

3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 50 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) below 0 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI/ADX/MACD Signal Long (CRWV@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 8.0% (CRWV@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (CRWV@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (CRWV@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/ADX/MACD Signal Long (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 8
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 90
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 8.0% (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.420909090909091
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2.420909090909091,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/ADX/MACD Signal Long (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 8
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 90
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 8.0% (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (CRWV@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.420909090909091
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2.420909090909091,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'CoreWeave's entire business model depends on borrowing huge sums now and earning AI revenue later — it just launched a $3 billion convertible bond issue plus a share-sale vehicle, meaning it must tap markets repeatedly. With the 10-year Treasury yield abo'. Thesis: CoreWeave's entire business model depends on borrowing huge sums now and earning AI revenue later — it just launched a $3 billion convertible bond issue plus a share-sale vehicle, meaning it must tap markets repeatedly. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5% and officials describing high yields as the 'new normal,' each funding round gets costlier and more dilutive. Companies with promised future revenue and heavy upfront spending are exactly the ones punished in a high-rate regime, so the stock faces a structural headwind rather than a one-day headline. Shorting into new yield highs while the stock sits below its 20-day average aligns the trade with both the funding squeeze and weak price momentum.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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