Public trading strategy
EV and fuel cell stocks flooding the market with new shares — short the dilution
Created
Thesis
We are seeing a dangerous pattern for speculative green energy companies: they are issuing massive amounts of new stock to raise cash, which heavily dilutes the value of existing shares. Rivian dropped 14% on a 75 million share offering, and FuelCell Energy sank 14% on a $225M share sale. When companies are forced to flood the market with new shares just to fund their operations, it signals financial desperation. With the broader market dropping rapidly due to the Iran conflict, investors are fleeing risky, cash-burning companies, creating a toxic combination for these stocks.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short FCEL on D1 when the stock registers a 10-day low and reports a new share offering. Exit if the stock bounces 8% from entry, or after a 14-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (FCEL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (PLUG@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (RIVN@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (FCEL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (PLUG@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (RIVN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (FCEL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (PLUG@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (FCEL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (PLUG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (FCEL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (PLUG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (FCEL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (PLUG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.7% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.3% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_fcel",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_plug",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_rivn",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_fcel",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_plug",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_rivn",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_fcel",
"name": "Crossover Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_plug",
"name": "Crossover Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_rivn",
"name": "Crossover Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "RIVN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_fcel",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_plug",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_rivn",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_fcel",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_plug",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_rivn",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_fcel",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_plug",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_rivn",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.662666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.325333333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 2,
"risk_percent": 2.662666666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_fcel",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_plug",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_rivn",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_fcel",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_plug",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_rivn",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Signal Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_fcel",
"name": "Crossover Long (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_plug",
"name": "Crossover Long (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_rivn",
"name": "Crossover Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "RIVN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "FCEL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_fcel",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLUG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_plug",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_rivn",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_fcel",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_plug",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_rivn",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_fcel",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (FCEL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "FCEL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_plug",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (PLUG@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "PLUG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_rivn",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.662666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.325333333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 2,
"risk_percent": 2.662666666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'EV and fuel cell stocks flooding the market with new shares — short the dilution'. Thesis: We are seeing a dangerous pattern for speculative green energy companies: they are issuing massive amounts of new stock to raise cash, which heavily dilutes the value of existing shares. Rivian dropped 14% on a 75 million share offering, and FuelCell Energy sank 14% on a $225M share sale. When companies are forced to flood the market with new shares just to fund their operations, it signals financial desperation. With the broader market dropping rapidly due to the Iran conflict, investors are fleeing risky, cash-burning companies, creating a toxic combination for these stocks.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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