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Public trading strategy

AI chip frenzy is spreading to the little guys — play the small-cap tech boom

Created

Thesis

Small cap stocks are on pace for their best first half since 1991, showing massive underlying market strength outside of the mega-cap tech names. At the same time, the AI infrastructure boom is accelerating: Micron's blowout earnings sparked a $400 billion rally in AI chip stocks, and On Semiconductor just committed $7 billion to buy Synaptics just to expand their AI footprint. When the biggest companies in AI surge and mega-mergers happen in the space, it creates a halo effect that draws investors to look for the 'next big thing' in smaller companies that haven't rallied yet. This combination favors searching for overlooked small-caps in the tech and hardware space.

Strategy approach

Build a momentum strategy on the daily timeframe. Enter long IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) when it makes a 10-day high and SMH (Semiconductor ETF) is up more than 2% on the same day. Hold for 15 days with a 3% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC/SUPERTREND Crossover Long (IWM@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "IWM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC/SUPERTREND Crossover Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "IWM"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.389666666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.779333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.389666666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "IWM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "IWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 1
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC/SUPERTREND Crossover Long (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "IWM"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "IWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.389666666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.779333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.389666666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'AI chip frenzy is spreading to the little guys — play the small-cap tech boom'. Thesis: Small cap stocks are on pace for their best first half since 1991, showing massive underlying market strength outside of the mega-cap tech names. At the same time, the AI infrastructure boom is accelerating: Micron's blowout earnings sparked a $400 billion rally in AI chip stocks, and On Semiconductor just committed $7 billion to buy Synaptics just to expand their AI footprint. When the biggest companies in AI surge and mega-mergers happen in the space, it creates a halo effect that draws investors to look for the 'next big thing' in smaller companies that haven't rallied yet. This combination favors searching for overlooked small-caps in the tech and hardware space.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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