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Public trading strategy

Iran's security council has explicitly stated the Strait remains closed indefini

Created

Thesis

Iran's security council has explicitly stated the Strait remains closed indefinitely, which removes the 'temporary disruption' narrative the market was pricing in. When the IEA simultaneously slashes its 2026 supply forecast and the U.S. EIA confirms production will stay shut through next year, it signals a structural supply deficit rather than a brief geopolitical flare-up. This multi-agency confirmation of a prolonged outage provides a strong fundamental floor for crude prices, making any pullbacks in oil buying opportunities rather than reasons to sell.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

USO · 1d

4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price at or below Bollinger (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 35 — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price at or below Bollinger (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 35 — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • RSI (14) above 70 — near

XOP · 1d

4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price at or below Bollinger (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 35 — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price at or below Bollinger (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 35 — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • RSI (14) above 70 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (USO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOP@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (USO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOP@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (XOP@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (XOP@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XOP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xop",
      "name": "BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOP@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_uso",
      "name": "BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_xop",
      "name": "BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOP@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_uso",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_xop",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (XOP@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_uso",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_xop",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (XOP@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xop",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOP@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xop",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XOP@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5007142857142854
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.001428571428571
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5007142857142854,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xop",
      "name": "BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOP@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
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      "direction": "long",
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      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOP"
    },
    {
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        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_xop",
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        {
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
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      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (USO@1d)",
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      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
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      "enabled": true,
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    },
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      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
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      "priority": 100,
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  "position_sizing": {
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Iran's security council has explicitly stated the Strait remains closed indefinitely, which removes the 'temporary disruption' narrative the market was pricing in. When the IEA simultaneously slashes its 2026 supply forecast and the U.S. EIA confirms prod'. Thesis: Iran's security council has explicitly stated the Strait remains closed indefinitely, which removes the 'temporary disruption' narrative the market was pricing in. When the IEA simultaneously slashes its 2026 supply forecast and the U.S. EIA confirms production will stay shut through next year, it signals a structural supply deficit rather than a brief geopolitical flare-up. This multi-agency confirmation of a prolonged outage provides a strong fundamental floor for crude prices, making any pullbacks in oil buying opportunities rather than reasons to sell.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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