Public trading strategy
Chinese AI shock wipes out retail traders' leveraged bets — buy the semiconducto
Created
Thesis
Sudden AI upstart shocks routinely trigger panic selling that overshoots fundamental value, especially when retail traders get forced out of leveraged funds. While the news creates genuine uncertainty, the core companies powering the AI boom still have massive, multi-year revenue pipelines that won't vanish overnight. Whenleveraged long funds suffer a violent washout, the subsequent rebound in the underlying stocks tends to be equally sharp as institutional money steps back in.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy on SOXL that enters long when the ETF drops more than 12% over 2 consecutive sessions. Use a 5-day max hold and exit on a 6% bounce from entry.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
NVDA · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (2) below -12 — far
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
- Stochastic (14) at or below 20 — unknown
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) above 60 — far
- Stochastic (14) above 80 — unknown
SOXL · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (2) below -12 — far
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- Stochastic (14) at or below 20 — met
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) above 60 — far
- Stochastic (14) above 80 — far
TSM · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (2) below -12 — far
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- Stochastic (14) at or below 20 — met
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) above 60 — far
- Stochastic (14) above 80 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Exhaustion Confirmed Panic Washout Long (SOXL@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: Exhaustion Confirmed Panic Washout Long (NVDA@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: Exhaustion Confirmed Panic Washout Long (TSM@1d) (6 conditions)
- Exit: STOCHASTIC Threshold Exit (SOXL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: STOCHASTIC Threshold Exit (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: STOCHASTIC Threshold Exit (TSM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TSM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SOXL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (TSM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Thesis time stop after 5 days (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -12
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_soxl",
"name": "Exhaustion Confirmed Panic Washout Long (SOXL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -12
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "Exhaustion Confirmed Panic Washout Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -12
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_tsm",
"name": "Exhaustion Confirmed Panic Washout Long (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 80
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_soxl",
"name": "STOCHASTIC Threshold Exit (SOXL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 80
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "STOCHASTIC Threshold Exit (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 80
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_tsm",
"name": "STOCHASTIC Threshold Exit (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_soxl",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tsm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_soxl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOXL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_tsm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4842
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.9684
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "advanced_analysis_time_stop",
"name": "Thesis time stop after 5 days",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4842,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -12
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_soxl",
"name": "Exhaustion Confirmed Panic Washout Long (SOXL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -12
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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{
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{
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],
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{
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}
],
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
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{
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
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"purpose": "signal"
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],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
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},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chinese AI shock wipes out retail traders' leveraged bets — buy the semiconductor panic dip'. Thesis: Sudden AI upstart shocks routinely trigger panic selling that overshoots fundamental value, especially when retail traders get forced out of leveraged funds. While the news creates genuine uncertainty, the core companies powering the AI boom still have massive, multi-year revenue pipelines that won't vanish overnight. Whenleveraged long funds suffer a violent washout, the subsequent rebound in the underlying stocks tends to be equally sharp as institutional money steps back in.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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