With Alphabet's free cash flow turning negative from AI capex, investors are fle
Created
Thesis
With Alphabet's free cash flow turning negative from AI capex, investors are fleeing companies burning cash on data centers and piling into Apple, which just touched $5 trillion. Microsoft and Meta are reporting this week into a wall of pessimism about their AI spending with no clear return. This divergence creates a pairs trade opportunity: go long the company winning the AI debate without the massive spending risk, and short the companies most exposed to an AI spending backlash.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AAPL · 1d
2 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or below EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) above 30 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above Price — met
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
META · 1d
4 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or below EMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 30 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
- Price above Price — met
- ADX (14) above 25 — met
MSFT · 1d
2 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or below EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 30 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above Price — met
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: AAPL Support Breakdown Short (AAPL@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop 45 bars (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Extension 127.2% (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MSFT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.1% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "AAPL Support Breakdown Short (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_time",
"name": "Time Stop 45 bars",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Fib Extension 127.2% (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_meta",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (META@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:META"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_msft",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5552333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.1104666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.5552333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "AAPL Support Breakdown Short (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_time",
"name": "Time Stop 45 bars",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Fib Extension 127.2% (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_meta",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (META@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:META"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_msft",
"name": "TP: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5552333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.1104666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.5552333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'With Alphabet's free cash flow turning negative from AI capex, investors are fleeing companies burning cash on data centers and piling into Apple, which just touched $5 trillion. Microsoft and Meta are reporting this week into a wall of pessimism about th'. Thesis: With Alphabet's free cash flow turning negative from AI capex, investors are fleeing companies burning cash on data centers and piling into Apple, which just touched $5 trillion. Microsoft and Meta are reporting this week into a wall of pessimism about their AI spending with no clear return. This divergence creates a pairs trade opportunity: go long the company winning the AI debate without the massive spending risk, and short the companies most exposed to an AI spending backlash.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies