AAL Confirmation-Gated Sector Short Strategy
Created
Thesis
Trump rejecting Iran's proposal means the Hormuz situation stays unresolved, and oil jumped over 1% on the news with talks only possibly resuming later this week. Airlines are the most fuel-sensitive stocks on the market — every dollar move in crude goes straight out of their margins, and they rarely can pass fuel costs to passengers quickly. While the broad market only slipped slightly, the sector-specific damage from sustained high crude is direct and immediate. As long as the diplomatic track stays stalled, airline shares should underperform.
Strategy approach
Trump rejecting Iran's proposal means the Hormuz situation stays unresolved, and oil jumped over 1% on the news with talks only possibly resuming later this week. Airlines are the most fuel-sensitive stocks on the market — every dollar move in crude goes straight out of their margins, and they rarely can pass fuel costs to passengers quickly. While the broad market only slipped slightly, the sector-specific damage from sustained high crude is direct and immediate. As long as the diplomatic track stays stalled, airline shares should underperform. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AAL · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
DAL · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
- Price below SMA (20) — far
UAL · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price below SMA (20) — near
- Price below SMA (20) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AAL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (DAL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (UAL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA Signal Long (AAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: SMA Signal Long (DAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: SMA Signal Long (UAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: SMA Signal Long (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (AAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (DAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (UAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (DAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (UAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (DAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (UAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.2% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Thesis time stop after 30 days (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aal",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AAL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dal",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ual",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (UAL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_aal",
"name": "SMA Signal Long (AAL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_dal",
"name": "SMA Signal Long (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_ual",
"name": "SMA Signal Long (UAL@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_uso",
"name": "SMA Signal Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_aal",
"name": "Crossover Long (AAL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_dal",
"name": "Crossover Long (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_ual",
"name": "Crossover Long (UAL@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_uso",
"name": "Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_aal",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AAL@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dal",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ual",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UAL@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_uso",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aal",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dal",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ual",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (UAL@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uso",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.175
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.35
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "advanced_analysis_time_stop",
"name": "Thesis time stop after 30 days",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.175,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aal",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (AAL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dal",
"name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
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},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Trump rejecting Iran's proposal means the Hormuz situation stays unresolved, and oil jumped over 1% on the news with talks only possibly resuming later this week. Airlines are the most fuel-sensitive stocks on the market — every dollar move in crude goes '. Thesis: Trump rejecting Iran's proposal means the Hormuz situation stays unresolved, and oil jumped over 1% on the news with talks only possibly resuming later this week. Airlines are the most fuel-sensitive stocks on the market — every dollar move in crude goes straight out of their margins, and they rarely can pass fuel costs to passengers quickly. While the broad market only slipped slightly, the sector-specific damage from sustained high crude is direct and immediate. As long as the diplomatic track stays stalled, airline shares should underperform.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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