Chip stocks hammered last week now rebounding — dip buy on Lam Research
Created
Thesis
Chip stocks were hammered during last week's global tech sell-off, pushing prices down to attractive levels. However, the fundamental backdrop remains incredibly strong: major banks like Citi and BofA just raised their price targets on Lam Research, anticipating a multi-year spending boom that could reach $250 billion. South Korea's announcement of an $880 billion investment into chips and data centers further confirms this demand. With tech futures now rebounding as geopolitical tensions ease, this creates a classic dip-buying opportunity in a sector with massive long-term institutional backing.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy on LRCX using the D1 timeframe. Enter long when the stock has dropped >5% over the prior 5 sessions but closes higher than the previous day (engulfing or reversal candle). Exit when price tags the 20-day upper band or after a 14-day holding period. Add a 6% hard stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMAT · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price above Bollinger (20) — far
ASML · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price above Bollinger (20) — met
LRCX · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- ROC (5) below -5 — far
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price above Bollinger (20) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (LRCX@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (AMAT@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (ASML@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LRCX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (AMAT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (ASML@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (LRCX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AMAT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (ASML@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (LRCX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AMAT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (ASML@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_lrcx",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "LRCX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amat",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMAT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_asml",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "ASML"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_lrcx",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "LRCX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_amat",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AMAT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_asml",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "ASML"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_lrcx",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (LRCX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "LRCX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_amat",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AMAT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_asml",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "ASML"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_lrcx",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LRCX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "LRCX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amat",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AMAT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_asml",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ASML"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_lrcx",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (LRCX@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "LRCX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amat",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMAT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_asml",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ASML"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_lrcx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (LRCX@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "LRCX"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amat",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMAT"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_asml",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ASML"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3807391304347827
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.761478260869565
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.3807391304347827,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "LRCX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_lrcx",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "LRCX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amat",
"name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMAT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip stocks hammered last week now rebounding — dip buy on Lam Research'. Thesis: Chip stocks were hammered during last week's global tech sell-off, pushing prices down to attractive levels. However, the fundamental backdrop remains incredibly strong: major banks like Citi and BofA just raised their price targets on Lam Research, anticipating a multi-year spending boom that could reach $250 billion. South Korea's announcement of an $880 billion investment into chips and data centers further confirms this demand. With tech futures now rebounding as geopolitical tensions ease, this creates a classic dip-buying opportunity in a sector with massive long-term institutional backing.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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