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Public trading strategy

Chip stocks hammered last week now rebounding — dip buy on Lam Research

Created

Thesis

Chip stocks were hammered during last week's global tech sell-off, pushing prices down to attractive levels. However, the fundamental backdrop remains incredibly strong: major banks like Citi and BofA just raised their price targets on Lam Research, anticipating a multi-year spending boom that could reach $250 billion. South Korea's announcement of an $880 billion investment into chips and data centers further confirms this demand. With tech futures now rebounding as geopolitical tensions ease, this creates a classic dip-buying opportunity in a sector with massive long-term institutional backing.

Strategy approach

Build a mean-reversion strategy on LRCX using the D1 timeframe. Enter long when the stock has dropped >5% over the prior 5 sessions but closes higher than the previous day (engulfing or reversal candle). Exit when price tags the 20-day upper band or after a 14-day holding period. Add a 6% hard stop loss.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

AMAT · 1d

2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (5) below -5 — far
  • Price above Price — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • ROC (5) below -5 — far
  • Price above Price — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • Price above Bollinger (20) — far

ASML · 1d

2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (5) below -5 — far
  • Price above Price — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • ROC (5) below -5 — far
  • Price above Price — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • Price above Bollinger (20) — met

LRCX · 1d

2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (5) below -5 — far
  • Price above Price — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • ROC (5) below -5 — far
  • Price above Price — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • Price above Bollinger (20) — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (LRCX@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (AMAT@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (ASML@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (LRCX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (AMAT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (ASML@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (LRCX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AMAT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (ASML@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (LRCX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AMAT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (ASML@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "LRCX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AMAT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "ASML",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_lrcx",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "LRCX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMAT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMAT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amat",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "AMAT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASML",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASML",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_asml",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "ASML"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_lrcx",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (LRCX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "LRCX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMAT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMAT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_amat",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (AMAT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "AMAT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASML",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASML",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_asml",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (ASML@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "ASML"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_lrcx",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (LRCX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "LRCX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_amat",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (AMAT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "AMAT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_asml",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (ASML@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "ASML"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_lrcx",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (LRCX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "LRCX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMAT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amat",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (AMAT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "AMAT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASML",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_asml",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (ASML@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "ASML"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_lrcx",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (LRCX@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "LRCX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMAT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amat",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (AMAT@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AMAT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASML",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_asml",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (ASML@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "ASML"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_lrcx",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (LRCX@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "LRCX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AMAT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_amat",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AMAT@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AMAT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ASML",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_asml",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (ASML@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "ASML"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3807391304347827
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.761478260869565
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 618,
      "risk_percent": 2.3807391304347827,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "LRCX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AMAT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "ASML",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LRCX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
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}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip stocks hammered last week now rebounding — dip buy on Lam Research'. Thesis: Chip stocks were hammered during last week's global tech sell-off, pushing prices down to attractive levels. However, the fundamental backdrop remains incredibly strong: major banks like Citi and BofA just raised their price targets on Lam Research, anticipating a multi-year spending boom that could reach $250 billion. South Korea's announcement of an $880 billion investment into chips and data centers further confirms this demand. With tech futures now rebounding as geopolitical tensions ease, this creates a classic dip-buying opportunity in a sector with massive long-term institutional backing.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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