Whales absorb Bitcoin selling while short sellers get squeezed — ride the Ethere
Created
Thesis
Bearish crypto traders just lost $281 million in forced liquidations as a short squeeze pushed Bitcoin toward $62,000, lifting Ethereum and Solana by double digits. This squeeze was set up by 'whales' who bought $16.7 billion in Bitcoin over two weeks while institutions were selling ETFs, creating a hidden supply floor. With ETF flows finally turning positive again to the tune of $221 million, both institutional and whale demand are now aligned. This powerful combination of hidden accumulation turning into a forced buying squeeze makes altcoins like Solana and Ether prime candidates for breakout momentum.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long ETHUSD on D1 when BTCUSD closes up >3% in a single day (short squeeze signal) and spot ETF flows are positive. Exit if ETHUSD drops below its 10-day low. Hold for a maximum of 14 days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
ETH · 1d
2 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 0.5 — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- Donchian (10) below Price — met
SOL · 1d
3 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 0.5 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- Donchian (10) below Price — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ADX/OBV/ROC Signal Long (ETH@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ADX/OBV/ROC Signal Long (SOL@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ADX/OBV Signal Long (ETH@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: ADX/OBV Signal Long (SOL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (ETH@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (SOL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (ETH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eth",
"name": "ADX/OBV/ROC Signal Long (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sol",
"name": "ADX/OBV/ROC Signal Long (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_eth",
"name": "ADX/OBV Signal Long (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_sol",
"name": "ADX/OBV Signal Long (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_eth",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_sol",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eth",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sol",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eth",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sol",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_eth",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_sol",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.460166666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.920333333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.460166666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eth",
"name": "ADX/OBV/ROC Signal Long (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sol",
"name": "ADX/OBV/ROC Signal Long (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_eth",
"name": "ADX/OBV Signal Long (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_sol",
"name": "ADX/OBV Signal Long (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_eth",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_sol",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eth",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sol",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eth",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sol",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_eth",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ETH@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_sol",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.460166666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.920333333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.460166666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Whales absorb Bitcoin selling while short sellers get squeezed — ride the Ethereum breakout'. Thesis: Bearish crypto traders just lost $281 million in forced liquidations as a short squeeze pushed Bitcoin toward $62,000, lifting Ethereum and Solana by double digits. This squeeze was set up by 'whales' who bought $16.7 billion in Bitcoin over two weeks while institutions were selling ETFs, creating a hidden supply floor. With ETF flows finally turning positive again to the tune of $221 million, both institutional and whale demand are now aligned. This powerful combination of hidden accumulation turning into a forced buying squeeze makes altcoins like Solana and Ether prime candidates for breakout momentum.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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