Public trading strategy
Strait of Hormuz shut down as U.S. and Iran clash — load up on U.S. oil stocks
Created
Thesis
The Strait of Hormuz is a bottleneck for roughly a fifth of the world's daily oil supply. As attacks force its closure and storage levels dwindle, oil prices are likely to keep climbing. U.S. oil producers who don't rely on the strait are in a prime position to cash in on these skyrocketing prices, as they can sell their supply at massive premiums while global competitors are cut off. Buying shares in major domestic producers like Chevron and ExxonMobil is a straightforward way to play this supply crunch.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long USO on the daily timeframe when the 10-day moving average crosses above the 50-day moving average and RSI(14) is between 50 and 70. Exit the position if the price closes below the 20-day moving average. Apply a 5% trailing stop.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@4h) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Long Exit Rule (USO@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_uso",
"name": "Long Exit Rule (USO@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uso",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_uso",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "USO"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (USO@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_uso",
"name": "Long Exit Rule (USO@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uso",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_uso",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "USO"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Strait of Hormuz shut down as U.S. and Iran clash — load up on U.S. oil stocks'. Thesis: The Strait of Hormuz is a bottleneck for roughly a fifth of the world's daily oil supply. As attacks force its closure and storage levels dwindle, oil prices are likely to keep climbing. U.S. oil producers who don't rely on the strait are in a prime position to cash in on these skyrocketing prices, as they can sell their supply at massive premiums while global competitors are cut off. Buying shares in major domestic producers like Chevron and ExxonMobil is a straightforward way to play this supply crunch.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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