Public trading strategy
Oil crashes below $80 on US-Iran peace deal — ride the cheap-fuel wave with airl
Created
Thesis
A US-Iran deal reopening shipping lanes is driving oil prices down to three-month lows. When fuel costs plummet, companies that rely heavily on oil—like airlines and delivery services—see their profit margins expand almost immediately. This creates a direct tailwind for airline and shipping stocks. We want to buy a basket of airline and transportation stocks to ride this wave of cheaper oil, holding them as long as oil prices stay depressed.
Strategy approach
Build a momentum strategy on JETS (U.S. Global Jets ETF) on the Daily timeframe. Enter long when the price closes above its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 14-day RSI is above 50 but below 70. Exit when the price closes below the 20-day SMA. Hold for a maximum of 20 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (JETS@1h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (DAL@1h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (UPS@1h) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
{
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
{
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "UPS"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_jets",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dal",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ups",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "UPS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "UPS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Add",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_jets",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Add",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_dal",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Add",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_ups",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "UPS"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
{
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
{
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "UPS"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_jets",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dal",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ups",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "UPS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "UPS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Add",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JETS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_jets",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1h)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Add",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DAL",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_dal",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1h)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"left": {
"field": "entry_price",
"type": "position"
},
"op": "Add",
"right": {
"left": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
},
"op": "Multiply",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "UPS",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_ups",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule (UPS@1h)",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "UPS"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oil crashes below $80 on US-Iran peace deal — ride the cheap-fuel wave with airline and shipping stocks'. Thesis: A US-Iran deal reopening shipping lanes is driving oil prices down to three-month lows. When fuel costs plummet, companies that rely heavily on oil—like airlines and delivery services—see their profit margins expand almost immediately. This creates a direct tailwind for airline and shipping stocks. We want to buy a basket of airline and transportation stocks to ride this wave of cheaper oil, holding them as long as oil prices stay depressed.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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