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Public trading strategy

SpaceX set for historic Friday debut — ride the retail stampede

Created

Thesis

When hugely anticipated companies go public, the massive wave of excitement from investors who couldn't buy before often drives the stock price up on the first day of trading. With retail investors ordering $70 billion worth of shares and institutional giants like BlackRock trying to buy in, there is an extreme imbalance of demand over available shares. This 'stampede' of buyers stuck on the outside looking in creates a strong upward push as they scramble to get a piece of the company once the bell rings. Buying shortly after the market opens allows you to ride this initial wave of enthusiasm.

Strategy approach

Build a strategy for the SpaceX IPO on its opening day (June 12, 2026) using the symbol SPCE if SPX is unavailable. Monitor 1-minute and 5-minute chart volume. Enter a long position if the stock establishes a support base within the first 30 minutes of trading and breaks above its opening 15-minute high on high volume. Exit with a 5% trailing stop or a 2% hard stop if it falls below the opening 15-minute low.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SUPERTREND/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SPY@1m) (6 conditions)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SPY@1m) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1m) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "1m"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "5m"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "5m"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "5m"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SUPERTREND/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SPY@1m)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "SPY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "condition_tree": {
        "children": [
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "greater_than",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "SPY",
                  "timeframe": "1m"
                },
                "ratio": 1272,
                "type": "fibonacci_extension"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          },
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "SPY",
                  "timeframe": "1m"
                },
                "ratio": 1618,
                "type": "fibonacci_extension"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          }
        ],
        "op": "any"
      },
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SPY@1m)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1m)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1m",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "1m"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "5m"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "5m"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "5m"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SUPERTREND/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SPY@1m)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "SPY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "condition_tree": {
        "children": [
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "greater_than",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "SPY",
                  "timeframe": "1m"
                },
                "ratio": 1272,
                "type": "fibonacci_extension"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          },
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "SPY",
                  "timeframe": "1m"
                },
                "ratio": 1618,
                "type": "fibonacci_extension"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          }
        ],
        "op": "any"
      },
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1m"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SPY@1m)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1m)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1m",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'SpaceX set for historic Friday debut — ride the retail stampede'. Thesis: When hugely anticipated companies go public, the massive wave of excitement from investors who couldn't buy before often drives the stock price up on the first day of trading. With retail investors ordering $70 billion worth of shares and institutional giants like BlackRock trying to buy in, there is an extreme imbalance of demand over available shares. This 'stampede' of buyers stuck on the outside looking in creates a strong upward push as they scramble to get a piece of the company once the bell rings. Buying shortly after the market opens allows you to ride this initial wave of enthusiasm.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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