Public trading strategy
Software beats hardware: Palantir surges on AI deal while semiconductor stocks f
Created
Thesis
The market is experiencing a distinct rotation away from the hardware side of AI, as memory and semiconductor stocks rapidly lose momentum. However, software applications are picking up the slack, highlighted by Palantir's 9% jump on a major NVIDIA sovereign-AI deal. While the Nasdaq falls due to chip weakness, software security and data analytics firms like Palo Alto Networks are climbing. This divergence suggests the smart money is moving up the value chain from chips to the software companies that actually monetize AI deployments.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long PLTR on D1 when the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (SOX) drops >1.5% but PLTR closes green. Exit if PLTR breaks below its 30-day moving average. Max hold 30 days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
PANW · 1d
6 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -1.5 — far
- Price above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- EMA (20) above EMA (50) — met
- ROC (1) below -1.5 — far
- Price above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- EMA (20) above EMA (50) — met
- Price below SMA (30) — met
- Price below SMA (30) — met
PLTR · 1d
6 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -1.5 — met
- Price above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- EMA (20) above EMA (50) — met
- ROC (1) below -1.5 — met
- Price above 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- EMA (20) above EMA (50) — met
- Price below SMA (30) — far
- Price below SMA (30) — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (PLTR@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (SOXX@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (PANW@1d) (6 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (PLTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (PANW@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (PLTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (PANW@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (PLTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (PANW@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (PLTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (PANW@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_pltr",
"name": "ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (PLTR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "PLTR"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_soxx",
"name": "ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_panw",
"name": "ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (PANW@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "PANW"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_pltr",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (PLTR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "PLTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_soxx",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_panw",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (PANW@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "PANW"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_pltr",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (PLTR@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "PLTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_soxx",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_panw",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (PANW@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "PANW"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_pltr",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (PLTR@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PLTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_soxx",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_panw",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (PANW@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PANW"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3841666666666668
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.7683333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_pltr",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (PLTR@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PLTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_soxx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_panw",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (PANW@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PANW"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.3841666666666668,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 30
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PLTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_pltr",
"name": "ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (PLTR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "PLTR"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_soxx",
"name": "ROC/ADX/EMA Signal Long (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "PANW",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
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{
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},
{
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_pltr",
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"purpose": "take_profit",
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},
{
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"enabled": true,
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"target_symbol": "SOXX"
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{
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{
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{
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{
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"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_pltr",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (PLTR@1d)",
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PLTR"
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{
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"operator": "less_than",
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"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_soxx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SOXX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOXX"
},
{
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{
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"right": {
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"timeframe": "1d"
},
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"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_panw",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (PANW@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "PANW"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
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"risk_percent": 2.3841666666666668,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Software beats hardware: Palantir surges on AI deal while semiconductor stocks falter'. Thesis: The market is experiencing a distinct rotation away from the hardware side of AI, as memory and semiconductor stocks rapidly lose momentum. However, software applications are picking up the slack, highlighted by Palantir's 9% jump on a major NVIDIA sovereign-AI deal. While the Nasdaq falls due to chip weakness, software security and data analytics firms like Palo Alto Networks are climbing. This divergence suggests the smart money is moving up the value chain from chips to the software companies that actually monetize AI deployments.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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