Nvidia chips are delayed but Meta is making their own — rotate into software
Created
Thesis
Nvidia just delayed its next AI system to 2028 due to circuit board problems, adding fuel to a brutal chip sector sell-off and driving Asian rotation away from chipmakers. At the exact same time, Meta launched a new AI model and reached a massive custom-chip milestone, easing investor fears about their infrastructure spending. This creates a perfect divergence: the hardware providers are crippled by production issues while the software giants are figuring out how to do AI more efficiently on their own terms. When the hardware layer breaks, the software layer becomes the safer, more profitable bet.
Strategy approach
Build a pair-trade strategy on daily bars. Enter a long position in Meta (META) and an equal-dollar short position in Nvidia (NVDA) when META makes a 10-day high while NVDA makes a 10-day low simultaneously. Hold the position for 20 trading days, using a 7% maximum loss stop on the combined spread.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
META · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Donchian (10) crossed above 0 — far
- Donchian (10) crossed below 0 — far
- RSI (14) above 55 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Donchian (10) crossed above 0 — far
- Donchian (10) crossed below 0 — far
- RSI (14) above 55 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below 0 — far
NVDA · 1d
0 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Donchian (10) crossed above 0 — far
- Donchian (10) crossed below 0 — far
- RSI (14) above 55 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Donchian (10) crossed above 0 — far
- Donchian (10) crossed below 0 — far
- RSI (14) above 55 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price below 0 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Long (META@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Short (NVDA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 7.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Short (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (META@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.515
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 7.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Crossover Short (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (META@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "TP: Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.515
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 7.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Nvidia chips are delayed but Meta is making their own — rotate into software'. Thesis: Nvidia just delayed its next AI system to 2028 due to circuit board problems, adding fuel to a brutal chip sector sell-off and driving Asian rotation away from chipmakers. At the exact same time, Meta launched a new AI model and reached a massive custom-chip milestone, easing investor fears about their infrastructure spending. This creates a perfect divergence: the hardware providers are crippled by production issues while the software giants are figuring out how to do AI more efficiently on their own terms. When the hardware layer breaks, the software layer becomes the safer, more profitable bet.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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