Public trading strategy
A 7% and 6% drop in Shopify and Etsy on the same day suggests this isn't company
Created
Thesis
A 7% and 6% drop in Shopify and Etsy on the same day suggests this isn't company-specific bad news — it's a shared problem: consumers pulling back. Oil approaching $100 raises shipping and heating costs and feeds the inflation worries driving a possible Fed rate hike, while Canada's new tariffs on U.S. goods directly hit the small merchants that sell through these platforms. When the macro backdrop gets more expensive for households, high-multiple e-commerce names with no pricing safety net tend to underperform further. That makes shorting the pair into Friday's inflation print a coherent hedge-friendly trade.
Strategy approach
A 7% and 6% drop in Shopify and Etsy on the same day suggests this isn't company-specific bad news — it's a shared problem: consumers pulling back. Oil approaching $100 raises shipping and heating costs and feeds the inflation worries driving a possible Fed rate hike, while Canada's new tariffs on U.S. goods directly hit the small merchants that sell through these platforms. When the macro backdrop gets more expensive for households, high-multiple e-commerce names with no pricing safety net tend to underperform further. That makes shorting the pair into Friday's inflation print a coherent hedge-friendly trade. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
ETSY · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) crossed below 50 — far
SHOP · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed below SMA (20) — far
- RSI (14) crossed below 50 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Failed-Bounce Short (ETSY@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Failed-Bounce Short (SHOP@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop at 30 Sessions (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Reclaim of Breakdown Resistance (ETSY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Reclaim of Breakdown Resistance (SHOP@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at Support Shelf (ETSY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at Support Shelf (SHOP@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% Adverse Move (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% Favorable Move (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_etsy",
"name": "Failed-Bounce Short (ETSY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ETSY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_shop",
"name": "Failed-Bounce Short (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Time Stop at 30 Sessions",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_etsy",
"name": "Invalidation: Reclaim of Breakdown Resistance (ETSY@1d)",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ETSY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_shop",
"name": "Invalidation: Reclaim of Breakdown Resistance (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 91,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_etsy",
"name": "Take Profit at Support Shelf (ETSY@1d)",
"priority": 95,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ETSY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_shop",
"name": "Take Profit at Support Shelf (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2.431
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4% Adverse Move",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4.862
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9% Favorable Move",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.431,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_etsy",
"name": "Failed-Bounce Short (ETSY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ETSY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_shop",
"name": "Failed-Bounce Short (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Time Stop at 30 Sessions",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_etsy",
"name": "Invalidation: Reclaim of Breakdown Resistance (ETSY@1d)",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ETSY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_shop",
"name": "Invalidation: Reclaim of Breakdown Resistance (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 91,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ETSY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_etsy",
"name": "Take Profit at Support Shelf (ETSY@1d)",
"priority": 95,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ETSY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_shop",
"name": "Take Profit at Support Shelf (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2.431
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4% Adverse Move",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4.862
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9% Favorable Move",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.431,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A 7% and 6% drop in Shopify and Etsy on the same day suggests this isn't company-specific bad news — it's a shared problem: consumers pulling back. Oil approaching $100 raises shipping and heating costs and feeds the inflation worries driving a possible F'. Thesis: A 7% and 6% drop in Shopify and Etsy on the same day suggests this isn't company-specific bad news — it's a shared problem: consumers pulling back. Oil approaching $100 raises shipping and heating costs and feeds the inflation worries driving a possible Fed rate hike, while Canada's new tariffs on U.S. goods directly hit the small merchants that sell through these platforms. When the macro backdrop gets more expensive for households, high-multiple e-commerce names with no pricing safety net tend to underperform further. That makes shorting the pair into Friday's inflation print a coherent hedge-friendly trade.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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