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Public trading strategy

Micron proves AI chip demand is real but Apple is getting squeezed on memory cos

Created

Thesis

Micron's revenue quadrupled and management says AI demand is just getting started, sending memory stocks soaring. But Apple just had its worst day in a year because it has to raise prices on Macs and iPads to cover rising memory costs. This is the same trend viewed from two angles: memory makers have incredible pricing power, and big buyers like Apple are feeling the squeeze. The broad tech selloff earlier in the week may have created a discount in memory stocks that Micron's blowout quarter just justified.

Strategy approach

Build a long strategy on MU and WDC using the D1 timeframe. Entry: Enter long when MU gaps up >5% on earnings volume and AAPL drops >2% on the same day. Exit: 15% take profit or 8% stop loss, 14-day max hold.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/OBV/ATR Signal Long (AAPL@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 15.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/ATR Signal Long (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AAPL"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5102
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5102,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/ATR Signal Long (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AAPL"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5102
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5102,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Micron proves AI chip demand is real but Apple is getting squeezed on memory costs — long the suppliers'. Thesis: Micron's revenue quadrupled and management says AI demand is just getting started, sending memory stocks soaring. But Apple just had its worst day in a year because it has to raise prices on Macs and iPads to cover rising memory costs. This is the same trend viewed from two angles: memory makers have incredible pricing power, and big buyers like Apple are feeling the squeeze. The broad tech selloff earlier in the week may have created a discount in memory stocks that Micron's blowout quarter just justified.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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