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Public trading strategy

Every market — stocks, currencies, bonds — is sitting on its hands ahead of Wars

Created

Thesis

Every market — stocks, currencies, bonds — is sitting on its hands ahead of Warsh's speech, which suggests traders expect a major announcement but haven't positioned for it. Bitcoin added 9% this week and is holding the $80,000 level, and the speech could reshape expectations about Fed support of Treasury buybacks that directly moves bitcoin and gold. When an event is universally flagged as 'major' but assets grind quietly higher into it, the market is often set up for an outsized move once the news lands. Rather than guessing the direction, the trade is to own the swing itself.

Strategy approach

Every market — stocks, currencies, bonds — is sitting on its hands ahead of Warsh's speech, which suggests traders expect a major announcement but haven't positioned for it. Bitcoin added 9% this week and is holding the $80,000 level, and the speech could reshape expectations about Fed support of Treasury buybacks that directly moves bitcoin and gold. When an event is universally flagged as 'major' but assets grind quietly higher into it, the market is often set up for an outsized move once the news lands. Rather than guessing the direction, the trade is to own the swing itself. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BTC · 15m

1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 80403 — near
  • Donchian (20) crossed above 0 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • OBV above Price — unknown
  • RSI (14) below 45 — far

COIN · 15m

1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 80403 — far
  • Donchian (20) crossed above 0 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • OBV above Price — unknown
  • RSI (14) below 45 — far

MSTR · 15m

1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 80403 — far
  • Donchian (20) crossed above 0 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • OBV above Price — unknown
  • RSI (14) below 45 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (BTC@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (COIN@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (MSTR@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 80403
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_btc",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 80403
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_coin",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 80403
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_mstr",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_btc",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_coin",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_mstr",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_btc",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_coin",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_mstr",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_btc",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_coin",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_mstr",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_btc",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_coin",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_mstr",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3778333333333332
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.7556666666666665
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3778333333333332,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 80403
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_btc",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 80403
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_coin",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 80403
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_mstr",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_btc",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_coin",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_mstr",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_btc",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_coin",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_mstr",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_btc",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_coin",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_mstr",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_btc",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_coin",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:MSTR",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_mstr",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:MSTR"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3778333333333332
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.7556666666666665
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3778333333333332,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Every market — stocks, currencies, bonds — is sitting on its hands ahead of Warsh's speech, which suggests traders expect a major announcement but haven't positioned for it. Bitcoin added 9% this week and is holding the $80,000 level, and the speech could'. Thesis: Every market — stocks, currencies, bonds — is sitting on its hands ahead of Warsh's speech, which suggests traders expect a major announcement but haven't positioned for it. Bitcoin added 9% this week and is holding the $80,000 level, and the speech could reshape expectations about Fed support of Treasury buybacks that directly moves bitcoin and gold. When an event is universally flagged as 'major' but assets grind quietly higher into it, the market is often set up for an outsized move once the news lands. Rather than guessing the direction, the trade is to own the swing itself.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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