Loading…
Public trading strategy

Apple drops $30B on Broadcom as the rest of the chip sector burns — grab the saf

Created

Thesis

The chip sector is getting heavily punished right now due to a perfect storm of geopolitical risk and Nvidia-specific AI server delays, causing panic selling across the board. However, amidst this chaos, Apple just committed to a massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom, fundamentally securing Broadcom's revenue stream regardless of the AI server production snags hitting Nvidia's supply chain. Because traders tend to dump all semiconductor stocks together during broad market panics, Broadcom is likely getting unfairly sold off alongside the rest of the sector. This creates a classic divergence: the broader chip sector is sinking on fear and delays, but Broadcom just secured a massive, guaranteed contract, making it a prime 'buy the dip' candidate while everyone else is panicking about Iran and Nvidia.

Strategy approach

Build a long strategy for AVGO on the D1 timeframe. Entry: Enter when AVGO experiences a 3-day pullback of 3% or more (driven by broader semiconductor weakness) while remaining in a long-term uptrend (price above the 200-day moving average). Exit: 15% target gain, or exit if the price closes below the 200-day moving average. Maximum hold time of 60 days.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

AVGO · 1d

2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (3) below -3 — met
  • Price above SMA (200) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (200) — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (AVGO@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 500,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 500,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3552666666666666
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.710533333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3552666666666666,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 200
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 500,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 500,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/SMA/ADX Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3552666666666666
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.710533333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3552666666666666,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Apple drops $30B on Broadcom as the rest of the chip sector burns — grab the safe haven'. Thesis: The chip sector is getting heavily punished right now due to a perfect storm of geopolitical risk and Nvidia-specific AI server delays, causing panic selling across the board. However, amidst this chaos, Apple just committed to a massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom, fundamentally securing Broadcom's revenue stream regardless of the AI server production snags hitting Nvidia's supply chain. Because traders tend to dump all semiconductor stocks together during broad market panics, Broadcom is likely getting unfairly sold off alongside the rest of the sector. This creates a classic divergence: the broader chip sector is sinking on fear and delays, but Broadcom just secured a massive, guaranteed contract, making it a prime 'buy the dip' candidate while everyone else is panicking about Iran and Nvidia.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies