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Public trading strategy

Explosion rocks major Qatar gas facility — natural gas prices set to surge

Created

Thesis

Qatar is one of the world's largest exporters of liquefied natural gas. When a major facility like this goes offline unexpectedly, the immediate drop in supply causes energy prices to spike as buyers scramble for alternatives. By investing in U.S. natural gas producers or the commodity itself, traders can position themselves to profit from this sudden price surge as the market reacts to the shortage.

Strategy approach

Build a news-driven breakout strategy that enters long UNG (or natural gas futures) on the daily chart when the price gaps up or breaks above the previous day's high. Exit after a 5% gain or if the price falls back below the 5-day moving average.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR Crossover Long (USO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ATR Crossover Long (UNG@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UNG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ung",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "UNG"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_uso",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ung",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ung",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ung",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UNG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ung",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ATR Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "UNG"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_uso",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ung",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ung",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ung",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Explosion rocks major Qatar gas facility — natural gas prices set to surge'. Thesis: Qatar is one of the world's largest exporters of liquefied natural gas. When a major facility like this goes offline unexpectedly, the immediate drop in supply causes energy prices to spike as buyers scramble for alternatives. By investing in U.S. natural gas producers or the commodity itself, traders can position themselves to profit from this sudden price surge as the market reacts to the shortage.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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