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Public trading strategy

Iran peace deal imminent — geopolitical risk dropping fast means buy Bitcoin

Created

Thesis

When a major global conflict de-escalates, investors move money out of safe-haven assets and into riskier bets like crypto and stocks. Bitcoin already jumped toward $65,000 on the news, and if the deal is officially signed, that momentum could continue. Less global tension means investors feel safer speculating, which historically boosts Bitcoin.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long BTCUSDT on H4 when RSI(14) crosses above 55 and MACD line > signal line, with a 7-day max hold and a 4% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

BTCH4

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Risk-On Sentiment Fade Short (BTC@1h) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Signal Reversal Exit (BTC@1h) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 4.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: 3.0% Profit Target (1 condition)
  • Exit: 7-Day Max Hold (168 Bars) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Risk-On Sentiment Fade Short (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Signal Reversal Exit (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: 3.0% Profit Target",
      "priority": 50,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 168
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "7-Day Max Hold (168 Bars)",
      "priority": 90,
      "purpose": "invalidation",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 4,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1h",
  "version": 3
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Risk-On Sentiment Fade Short (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Signal Reversal Exit (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: 3.0% Profit Target",
      "priority": 50,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 168
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "7-Day Max Hold (168 Bars)",
      "priority": 90,
      "purpose": "invalidation",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 4,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1h",
  "version": 3
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Iran peace deal imminent — geopolitical risk dropping fast means buy Bitcoin'. Thesis: When a major global conflict de-escalates, investors move money out of safe-haven assets and into riskier bets like crypto and stocks. Bitcoin already jumped toward $65,000 on the news, and if the deal is officially signed, that momentum could continue. Less global tension means investors feel safer speculating, which historically boosts Bitcoin.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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