Public trading strategy
Billions fleeing Bitcoin for hot new tech IPOs — ride the crypto crash down
Created
Thesis
The momentum behind Bitcoin has completely broken down, with the price dropping 14% in just one week. Institutional money is actively fleeing, with massive daily outflows from Bitcoin funds as investors chase shiny new stock offerings like the upcoming SpaceX IPO instead. The selling pressure is so intense that it wiped out over a billion dollars in leveraged bets. With the trend pointing straight down and no signs of buyers stepping in, this crypto crash looks poised to push prices even lower.
Strategy approach
Build a trend-following short strategy for BTCUSDT on the 4-hour (H4) timeframe. Enter a short position when the price is below the 50-day moving average AND the MACD line crosses below the signal line. Exit the short position if the price closes above the 20-day moving average. Use a 3% stop loss above the entry price to cap risk.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA/MACD Crossover Short (BTC@1h) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Short Exit Rule (BTC@1h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA/MACD Crossover Short (BTC@1h)",
"priority": 1
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Short Exit Rule (BTC@1h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 3,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA/MACD Crossover Short (BTC@1h)",
"priority": 1
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Short Exit Rule (BTC@1h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 3,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Billions fleeing Bitcoin for hot new tech IPOs — ride the crypto crash down'. Thesis: The momentum behind Bitcoin has completely broken down, with the price dropping 14% in just one week. Institutional money is actively fleeing, with massive daily outflows from Bitcoin funds as investors chase shiny new stock offerings like the upcoming SpaceX IPO instead. The selling pressure is so intense that it wiped out over a billion dollars in leveraged bets. With the trend pointing straight down and no signs of buyers stepping in, this crypto crash looks poised to push prices even lower.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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