Public trading strategy
Nvidia's AI rack is delayed a year but memory chips are printing money — buy the
Created
Thesis
The Nvidia delay report reveals that their next-gen rack system won't ship until 2028 — a full year behind schedule. Paradoxically, this is bullish for the broader semiconductor supply chain: existing AI chip demand stays stronger for longer since companies can't upgrade. Samsung's 19-fold profit jump confirms AI memory demand is real and surging, yet investors dumped the stock anyway out of fear that the AI boom stalls. When a company posts 19x earnings growth and the stock falls, that's sentiment-driven selling disconnected from fundamentals. ASML and other semiconductor equipment makers are the beneficiaries here — the longer Nvidia's system is delayed, the longer the current generation of chips keeps orders flowing through the supply chain.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long ASML and AMAT on D1 when NVDA drops >3% in a session on product-delay news while Samsung's ADR (SSNLF) is down >2% on the same day despite positive earnings. Entry within 2 sessions of the dual-sell-off. Hold up to 30 trading days. Exit on a 7% gain or 4% loss.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMAT · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
ASML · 1d
4 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — met
SSNLF · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Dual Sell-Off Dip Buy Long (ASML@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Dual Sell-Off Dip Buy Long (AMAT@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 7% (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop at 30 Trading Days (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SSNLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SSNLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Dual Sell-Off Dip Buy Long (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ASML"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SSNLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "Dual Sell-Off Dip Buy Long (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMAT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Time Stop at 30 Trading Days",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "invalidation"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 4,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SSNLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SSNLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ASML",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Dual Sell-Off Dip Buy Long (ASML@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ASML"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SSNLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMAT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "Dual Sell-Off Dip Buy Long (AMAT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMAT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Time Stop at 30 Trading Days",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "invalidation"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 4,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Nvidia's AI rack is delayed a year but memory chips are printing money — buy the dip on Samsung and chip-equipment makers'. Thesis: The Nvidia delay report reveals that their next-gen rack system won't ship until 2028 — a full year behind schedule. Paradoxically, this is bullish for the broader semiconductor supply chain: existing AI chip demand stays stronger for longer since companies can't upgrade. Samsung's 19-fold profit jump confirms AI memory demand is real and surging, yet investors dumped the stock anyway out of fear that the AI boom stalls. When a company posts 19x earnings growth and the stock falls, that's sentiment-driven selling disconnected from fundamentals. ASML and other semiconductor equipment makers are the beneficiaries here — the longer Nvidia's system is delayed, the longer the current generation of chips keeps orders flowing through the supply chain.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies