Iran peace deal clears shipping lanes — bargain hunt shipping and emerging marke

Thesis

The new US-Iran deal reopens crucial shipping lanes and helps stabilize global energy costs. This is a massive relief for Asian and emerging-market economies that rely heavily on imported oil and maritime trade through those straits. Companies that recently warned about war disruptions, like BMW, show how much pent-up pressure these supply chains have faced. As the fear premium comes out of oil prices, emerging market stocks stand to benefit from improving profit margins and lower transportation costs.

Strategy approach

Build a long-only mean-reversion strategy on EWM (iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF) using the Daily timeframe. Entry: Price is trading above the 200-day SMA, but the 14-day RSI drops below 40. Exit: 14-day RSI crosses back above 60, or a 10% profit target is hit. Include a 5% stop loss.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

• Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (EWM@1d) (2 conditions)
• Exit: RSI Crosses Above Exit (EWM@1d) (1 condition)
• Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
• Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "EWM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ewm",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (EWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "EWM"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ewm",
      "name": "RSI Crosses Above Exit (EWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ewm",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "EWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ewm",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "EWM"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 200
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "EWM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 200
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ewm",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (EWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "EWM"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EWM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ewm",
      "name": "RSI Crosses Above Exit (EWM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ewm",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "EWM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ewm",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "EWM"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Iran peace deal clears shipping lanes — bargain hunt shipping and emerging market stocks'. Thesis: The new US-Iran deal reopens crucial shipping lanes and helps stabilize global energy costs. This is a massive relief for Asian and emerging-market economies that rely heavily on imported oil and maritime trade through those straits. Companies that recently warned about war disruptions, like BMW, show how much pent-up pressure these supply chains have faced. As the fear premium comes out of oil prices, emerging market stocks stand to benefit from improving profit margins and lower transportation costs.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

• The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
• Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
• No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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