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Public trading strategy

LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain blocked because diplomatic tal

Created

Thesis

LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain blocked because diplomatic talks with Oman keep stalling. Since Europe relies heavily on these LNG shipments to replace lost Russian pipeline gas, every failed negotiation triggers a scramble for alternative supply and pushes European gas prices higher. As long as the political deadlock continues, the constant threat of a supply squeeze creates a sustained floor under prices. This uncertainty means any fresh headline about a collapsed deal acts as a recurring catalyst for another leg up in gas prices.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BOIL · 1d

0 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (9) crossed above EMA (20) — near
  • Price below EMA (9) — near
  • ADX (14) above 25 — far
  • Price above Supertrend (10) — far
  • Price above Supertrend (10) — far

FCG · 1d

No entry condition values were published.

UNG · 1d

1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (9) crossed above EMA (20) — near
  • Price below EMA (9) — near
  • ADX (14) above 25 — far
  • Price above Supertrend (10) — met
  • Price above Supertrend (10) — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Spike-Exhaustion Reversal Short (UNG@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Signal Exit: Supertrend Resistance Break (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Time Stop: 45 Bars (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Spike-Exhaustion Reversal Short (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Signal Exit: Supertrend Resistance Break (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Time Stop: 45 Bars (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 3
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    },
    {
      "multiplier": 3,
      "name": "supertrend",
      "period": 10
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 9
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Spike-Exhaustion Reversal Short (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "multiplier": 3,
              "name": "supertrend",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Signal Exit: Supertrend Resistance Break (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Time Stop: 45 Bars (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 3
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain blocked because diplomatic talks with Oman keep stalling. Since Europe relies heavily on these LNG shipments to replace lost Russian pipeline gas, every failed negotiation triggers a scramble for alternati'. Thesis: LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain blocked because diplomatic talks with Oman keep stalling. Since Europe relies heavily on these LNG shipments to replace lost Russian pipeline gas, every failed negotiation triggers a scramble for alternative supply and pushes European gas prices higher. As long as the political deadlock continues, the constant threat of a supply squeeze creates a sustained floor under prices. This uncertainty means any fresh headline about a collapsed deal acts as a recurring catalyst for another leg up in gas prices.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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