Crypto crashes while big banks flex their strength — rotate into financials
Created
Thesis
We are connecting the immediate bullish news for major banks—like JPMorgan's massive buyback following a successful Fed stress test—with the ongoing chaos in crypto and high-multiple tech stocks. While Bitcoin crashes and Apple raises consumer prices to combat margins, big financial institutions are proving their resilience. Combining this with the fact that small caps are quietly booming suggests Wall Street money is rotating out of speculative tech and into safer, domestic financial plays.
Strategy approach
Construct a D1 long/short sector rotation strategy. Enter long XLF (Financials) and short XLK (Technology) when the ratio of XLF to XLK breaks above its 50-day moving average. Additionally, use IWM (Small Caps) as a confirming indicator: only enter the trade if IWM is trading above its 50-day moving average. Exit the trade if the XLF/XLK ratio crosses back below the 50-day moving average, or after a maximum hold of 30 days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: SMA Crossover Short (XLK@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: SMA Crossover Long (IWM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: SMA Crossover Long (GS@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: SMA Crossover Long (JPM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "XLK",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "IWM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "SMA Crossover Short (XLK@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "XLK"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3",
"name": "SMA Crossover Long (IWM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "IWM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_4",
"name": "SMA Crossover Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_5",
"name": "SMA Crossover Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "JPM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_xlk",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLK"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_iwm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "IWM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_xlk",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLK"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_iwm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "IWM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLK@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_xlk",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLK"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_iwm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "IWM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (IWM@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7_xlk",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLK"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7_iwm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "IWM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_8_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_8_xlk",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLK"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_8_iwm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "IWM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_8_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_8_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.437266666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_9",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.874533333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_10",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.437266666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "XLK",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "IWM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
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},
{
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],
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_9",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
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"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_10",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.437266666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Crypto crashes while big banks flex their strength — rotate into financials'. Thesis: We are connecting the immediate bullish news for major banks—like JPMorgan's massive buyback following a successful Fed stress test—with the ongoing chaos in crypto and high-multiple tech stocks. While Bitcoin crashes and Apple raises consumer prices to combat margins, big financial institutions are proving their resilience. Combining this with the fact that small caps are quietly booming suggests Wall Street money is rotating out of speculative tech and into safer, domestic financial plays.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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