Public trading strategy
Bitcoin options point to a rough month — short BTC ahead of the expiry
Thesis
Large options expiries often bring heightened volatility as dealers hedge their books. With bears holding the upper hand and the new Fed chief signaling higher interest rates, the macro environment is leaning heavily against speculative assets like Bitcoin. If the price fails to hold its current support level around $63,000, the targeted bets pointing to $52,000 could trigger a cascading sell-off as leveraged long positions get liquidated.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short BTCUSDT on H4 when price closes below the 20-day SMA and RSI(14) < 45, targeting a move toward 52000. Exit if price closes above the 10-day SMA. Use a 5% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
BTCH4