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Public trading strategy

Cheaper oil from Iran deal lights a fire under emerging markets — ride the momen

Created

Thesis

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is causing oil prices to tumble, which acts like a massive tax cut for countries that have to import most of their fuel. Cheaper energy means lower costs for businesses and consumers in these regions, which is why emerging market stocks just hit a record high. By buying a broad emerging markets fund, you are betting that this relief will translate into sustained corporate profit growth and continued stock market momentum as the global economy adjusts to lower fuel costs.

Strategy approach

Build a momentum strategy on EEM (Emerging Markets ETF) using the daily timeframe. Entry: Price crosses above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) with RSI(14) between 50 and 70. Exit: Price closes below the 20-day SMA. Risk management: 3% trailing stop-loss.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (EEM@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (VWO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 3.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 3.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "EEM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VWO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_eem",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_vwo",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "VWO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_eem",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_vwo",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_eem",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_vwo",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_eem",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 50,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_vwo",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 51,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "EEM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VWO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_eem",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_vwo",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "VWO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EEM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_eem",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (EEM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VWO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_vwo",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (VWO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_eem",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_vwo",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_eem",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 50,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "EEM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_vwo",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 51,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "VWO"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Cheaper oil from Iran deal lights a fire under emerging markets — ride the momentum'. Thesis: The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is causing oil prices to tumble, which acts like a massive tax cut for countries that have to import most of their fuel. Cheaper energy means lower costs for businesses and consumers in these regions, which is why emerging market stocks just hit a record high. By buying a broad emerging markets fund, you are betting that this relief will translate into sustained corporate profit growth and continued stock market momentum as the global economy adjusts to lower fuel costs.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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