Chip panic erased by Micron's blockbuster quarter — momentum play on memory stoc
Created
Thesis
Just days after a brutal Wall Street chip selloff, Micron just reported massive earnings and forecast huge demand, instantly reigniting the AI hardware rally. The chip panic was so severe that even Apple got slammed this week simply for raising prices on memory-heavy products like Macs and iPads. With Micron's blowout results directly contradicting the recent 'AI is cooling' narrative, the panic-driven dip in semiconductor and memory stocks offers a prime bounce-back opportunity.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long MU on D1 when the stock rallies >5% on earnings volume. Confirm entry requires SMH (Semiconductor ETF) to be above its 50-day moving average. Exit conditions: a 10% trailing stop or a hold period of 21 trading days maximum.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- OBV above SMA (50) — unknown
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- OBV above SMA (50) — unknown
- ADX (14) below 20 — far
SMH · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- OBV above SMA (50) — unknown
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- OBV above SMA (50) — unknown
- ADX (14) below 20 — far
WDC · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- OBV above SMA (50) — unknown
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- OBV above SMA (50) — unknown
- ADX (14) below 20 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (MU@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (SMH@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (WDC@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA/OBV Signal Long (MU@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA/OBV Signal Long (SMH@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA/OBV Signal Long (WDC@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (WDC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: ADX Threshold Exit (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: ADX Threshold Exit (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: ADX Threshold Exit (WDC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (WDC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (WDC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_wdc",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_mu",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_smh",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Signal Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_wdc",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Signal Long (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_mu",
"name": "Crossover Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_smh",
"name": "Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_wdc",
"name": "Crossover Long (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "WDC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "ADX Threshold Exit (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "ADX Threshold Exit (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_wdc",
"name": "ADX Threshold Exit (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MU@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_smh",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_wdc",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_smh",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_wdc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (WDC@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "WDC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4001333333333337
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.800266666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4001333333333337,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "ROC/SMA/OBV Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "WDC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
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"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip panic erased by Micron's blockbuster quarter — momentum play on memory stocks'. Thesis: Just days after a brutal Wall Street chip selloff, Micron just reported massive earnings and forecast huge demand, instantly reigniting the AI hardware rally. The chip panic was so severe that even Apple got slammed this week simply for raising prices on memory-heavy products like Macs and iPads. With Micron's blowout results directly contradicting the recent 'AI is cooling' narrative, the panic-driven dip in semiconductor and memory stocks offers a prime bounce-back opportunity.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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