Public trading strategy
Domino's earnings show ingredient costs are surging — long the pizza chain as it
Created
Thesis
Domino's earnings reveal franchisees are spending meaningfully more on ingredients, which is a direct signal that food-input inflation is flowing through the system. With oil near $90 — a key driver of farming, freight, and packaging costs — that ingredient squeeze is unlikely to ease soon. The market's immediate 7% pop shows investors are rewarding Domino's for navigating those costs, but the broader takeaway is that food operators with pricing power can pass those costs to consumers and protect their margins. Buying Domino's on this earnings momentum captures both the beat and the structural tailwind of rising menu prices.
Strategy approach
Build a swing strategy on D1 timeframe for DPZ. Enter long on a 5% gap-up after earnings when broad oil (USO) is trading above $85. Hold for up to 14 trading days. Exit if DPZ makes a new 10-day low or if the stock closes below the pre-earnings close. Target a 7-8% gain.
Markets and timeframes
DPZD1
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
DPZ · 1d
8 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above 85 — met
- Williams %R (14) below -20 — met
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above 85 — met
- Williams %R (14) below -20 — met
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Price above 85 — met
- Williams %R (14) below -20 — met
- ROC (1) above 5 — far
- Williams %R (14) below -20 — met
- Price above 85 — met
- Donchian (10) above Price — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (USO@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (DPZ@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (DPZ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (DPZ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dpz",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_4",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 14
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4283333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8566666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4283333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "vwap"
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dpz",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "williams_r",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/WILLIAMSR Signal Long (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 85
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_4",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 14
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DPZ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DPZ@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DPZ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4283333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8566666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4283333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Domino's earnings show ingredient costs are surging — long the pizza chain as it raises prices to offset'. Thesis: Domino's earnings reveal franchisees are spending meaningfully more on ingredients, which is a direct signal that food-input inflation is flowing through the system. With oil near $90 — a key driver of farming, freight, and packaging costs — that ingredient squeeze is unlikely to ease soon. The market's immediate 7% pop shows investors are rewarding Domino's for navigating those costs, but the broader takeaway is that food operators with pricing power can pass those costs to consumers and protect their margins. Buying Domino's on this earnings momentum captures both the beat and the structural tailwind of rising menu prices.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies