Public trading strategy
AI spending worries crush Big Tech while chip suppliers boom — long the real AI
Created
Thesis
The 'Magnificent Seven' tech giants lost $2.3 trillion in value in June because investors are questioning their massive AI spending. However, the physical chipmakers like Micron, Intel, and AMD just added $2 trillion in value during the exact same quarter. This combination suggests investors aren't abandoning AI; they are just shifting their money away from the expensive software giants and into the hardware suppliers who are actually seeing the direct revenue growth. If we see another rocky month for the big tech stocks, the chipmakers are likely to be the safe haven for tech investors.
Strategy approach
Build a long-only momentum strategy on MU, AMD, and INTC using a daily (D1) timeframe. Enter when the stock's 20-day Simple Moving Average crosses above its 50-day Simple Moving Average. Exit if the stock drops 8% from the entry price or if held for a maximum of 30 days. Filter entries to only execute when the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is down on the day.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMD · 1d
1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- SMA (20) crossed above SMA (50) — near
- ROC (1) below 0 — met
INTC · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- SMA (20) crossed above SMA (50) — far
- ROC (1) below 0 — near
MU · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- SMA (20) crossed above SMA (50) — near
- ROC (1) below 0 — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (AMD@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (INTC@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (MU@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 8% Below Entry (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop: Exit After 30 Trading Days (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_intc",
"name": "Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (MU@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 8% Below Entry",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Time Stop: Exit After 30 Trading Days",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_intc",
"name": "Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (INTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "Chipmaker Momentum Long on Weak Tape (MU@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 8% Below Entry",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Time Stop: Exit After 30 Trading Days",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'AI spending worries crush Big Tech while chip suppliers boom — long the real AI winners'. Thesis: The 'Magnificent Seven' tech giants lost $2.3 trillion in value in June because investors are questioning their massive AI spending. However, the physical chipmakers like Micron, Intel, and AMD just added $2 trillion in value during the exact same quarter. This combination suggests investors aren't abandoning AI; they are just shifting their money away from the expensive software giants and into the hardware suppliers who are actually seeing the direct revenue growth. If we see another rocky month for the big tech stocks, the chipmakers are likely to be the safe haven for tech investors.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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