Dollar hits one-year high as Fed signals more hikes — ride the currency momentum
Created
Thesis
The US dollar is gaining strength because interest rates in America are expected to stay higher than in Europe and Japan. When the dollar enters a phase like this, global money tends to flow into US cash. With the Fed signaling more rate hikes and the European economy lagging, this trend has clear fuel to keep pushing the dollar higher.
Strategy approach
Build a trend-following strategy that enters long UUP (US Dollar Index ETF) on the daily timeframe when it breaks above its 20-day high. Exit conditions: trailing stop of 2%, or exit if RSI(14) crosses below 60.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN Signal Short (UUP@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: DONCHIAN Signal Short (UDN@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: DONCHIAN Signal Short (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: DONCHIAN Signal Short (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: DONCHIAN Signal Short (TLT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Trailing Stop at 2.0% (single exit, no conflicting exits) (1 condition)
- Exit: RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (UUP@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (UDN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (TLT@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UUP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UUP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uup",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (UUP@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UUP"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_udn",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (USO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gld",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_tlt",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_trailing_stop",
"name": "Trailing Stop at 2.0% (single exit, no conflicting exits)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UUP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uup",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (UUP@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UUP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_udn",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uso",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (USO@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gld",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tlt",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 6,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.7888666666666664,
"stop_loss_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UUP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UUP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uup",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (UUP@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UUP"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_udn",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (USO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gld",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_tlt",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Short (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_trailing_stop",
"name": "Trailing Stop at 2.0% (single exit, no conflicting exits)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UUP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uup",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (UUP@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UUP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_udn",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uso",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (USO@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gld",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (GLD@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tlt",
"name": "RSI Crosses Above 50 Trend-Invalidation Exit (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 6,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.7888666666666664,
"stop_loss_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Dollar hits one-year high as Fed signals more hikes — ride the currency momentum'. Thesis: The US dollar is gaining strength because interest rates in America are expected to stay higher than in Europe and Japan. When the dollar enters a phase like this, global money tends to flow into US cash. With the Fed signaling more rate hikes and the European economy lagging, this trend has clear fuel to keep pushing the dollar higher.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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