Sony's upgraded profit outlook shows real fundamental strength driven by the gam
Created
Thesis
Sony's upgraded profit outlook shows real fundamental strength driven by the gaming business, creating a clear tailwind for the stock. In contrast, Advantest's recent 18% rally is directly threatened by an upcoming Nikkei 225 index weight reduction, which will force passive index funds to automatically sell their shares regardless of the company's actual performance. This divergence—improving fundamentals on one side and forced mechanical selling pressure on the other—creates a clean opportunity to buy the winner and bet against the temporary overreaction in the other.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
ATEYY · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
SONY · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 75 — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SONY@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (ATEYY@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: EMA Crosses Below Exit (SONY@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: EMA Crosses Below Exit (ATEYY@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SONY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ATEYY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SONY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (ATEYY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.5% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sony",
"name": "EMA/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ateyy",
"name": "EMA/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sony",
"name": "EMA Crosses Below Exit (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ateyy",
"name": "EMA Crosses Below Exit (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sony",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ateyy",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_sony",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ateyy",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.27
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.54
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.27,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "vwap"
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "vwap"
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sony",
"name": "EMA/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ateyy",
"name": "EMA/VWAP/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sony",
"name": "EMA Crosses Below Exit (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ateyy",
"name": "EMA Crosses Below Exit (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sony",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ateyy",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SONY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_sony",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SONY@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SONY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ateyy",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ATEYY@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ATEYY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.27
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.54
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.27,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Sony's upgraded profit outlook shows real fundamental strength driven by the gaming business, creating a clear tailwind for the stock. In contrast, Advantest's recent 18% rally is directly threatened by an upcoming Nikkei 225 index weight reduction, which'. Thesis: Sony's upgraded profit outlook shows real fundamental strength driven by the gaming business, creating a clear tailwind for the stock. In contrast, Advantest's recent 18% rally is directly threatened by an upcoming Nikkei 225 index weight reduction, which will force passive index funds to automatically sell their shares regardless of the company's actual performance. This divergence—improving fundamentals on one side and forced mechanical selling pressure on the other—creates a clean opportunity to buy the winner and bet against the temporary overreaction in the other.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies