Public trading strategy
BTC Momentum Breakout Strategy
Created
Thesis
Bitcoin's reaction to the Fed's first rate hike in three years is telling: instead of selling off, it held near $76,500 while stocks rebounded, and it has now strung together three daily gains toward $78,000. When an asset shrugs off a widely feared macro event, it usually means the sellers have already exhausted themselves. The Fed is expected to signal only limited further tightening, removing the biggest overhang. A break above $78,000 on this kind of resilience offers a momentum entry with a clear invalidation level.
Strategy approach
Bitcoin's reaction to the Fed's first rate hike in three years is telling: instead of selling off, it held near $76,500 while stocks rebounded, and it has now strung together three daily gains toward $78,000. When an asset shrugs off a widely feared macro event, it usually means the sellers have already exhausted themselves. The Fed is expected to signal only limited further tightening, removing the biggest overhang. A break above $78,000 on this kind of resilience offers a momentum entry with a clear invalidation level. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Confirmed Two-Day Breakout Hold Fade Short (BTC@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Fade Success Exit: Close Back Below 78,000 (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Thesis Invalidation Exit: Close Above 79,500 Mirror Zone (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop at 45 Days (1 condition)
- Exit: Momentum Re-acceleration Exit: MACD Crosses Above Signal (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% Adverse (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.2% Favorable (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 78000
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Confirmed Two-Day Breakout Hold Fade Short (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 78000
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Fade Success Exit: Close Back Below 78,000 (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 79500
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Thesis Invalidation Exit: Close Above 79,500 Mirror Zone (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Time Stop at 45 Days",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Momentum Re-acceleration Exit: MACD Crosses Above Signal (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5911666666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6% Adverse",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.182333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2% Favorable",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 100,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5911666666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"fast": 26,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 52
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 78000
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Confirmed Two-Day Breakout Hold Fade Short (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 78000
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Fade Success Exit: Close Back Below 78,000 (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 79500
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Thesis Invalidation Exit: Close Above 79,500 Mirror Zone (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Time Stop at 45 Days",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Momentum Re-acceleration Exit: MACD Crosses Above Signal (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5911666666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6% Adverse",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.182333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.2% Favorable",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 100,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5911666666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Bitcoin's reaction to the Fed's first rate hike in three years is telling: instead of selling off, it held near $76,500 while stocks rebounded, and it has now strung together three daily gains toward $78,000. When an asset shrugs off a widely feared macro'. Thesis: Bitcoin's reaction to the Fed's first rate hike in three years is telling: instead of selling off, it held near $76,500 while stocks rebounded, and it has now strung together three daily gains toward $78,000. When an asset shrugs off a widely feared macro event, it usually means the sellers have already exhausted themselves. The Fed is expected to signal only limited further tightening, removing the biggest overhang. A break above $78,000 on this kind of resilience offers a momentum entry with a clear invalidation level.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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