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Public trading strategy

Two forces are pushing the yen up at once: official US backing for a stronger ye

Created

Thesis

Two forces are pushing the yen up at once: official US backing for a stronger yen, and safe-haven flows as oil tops $100 on the US-Iran conflict. When the Treasury Secretary openly backs the market direction traders are already betting on, betting against him is risky, while the oil-driven flight to safety adds fuel. That combination makes the yen's climb one of the more protected trends in the market right now.

Strategy approach

Two forces are pushing the yen up at once: official US backing for a stronger yen, and safe-haven flows as oil tops $100 on the US-Iran conflict. When the Treasury Secretary openly backs the market direction traders are already betting on, betting against him is risky, while the oil-driven flight to safety adds fuel. That combination makes the yen's climb one of the more protected trends in the market right now. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

FXY · 1d

0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price crossed above SMA (50) — near
  • Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — far
  • RSI (14) below 65 — far
  • RSI (14) above 70 — met

YCS · 1d

1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price crossed above SMA (50) — far
  • Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — far
  • RSI (14) below 65 — met
  • RSI (14) above 70 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Pullback-Reclaim Long: Reclaim 50-Day Support with Momentum Turn (FXY@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Pullback-Reclaim Long: Reclaim 50-Day Support with Momentum Turn (YCS@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Overextended RSI Exit (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Overextended RSI Exit (YCS@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Time Stop at 60 Bars (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (YCS@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (YCS@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.1% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_fxy",
      "name": "Pullback-Reclaim Long: Reclaim 50-Day Support with Momentum Turn (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ycs",
      "name": "Pullback-Reclaim Long: Reclaim 50-Day Support with Momentum Turn (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_fxy",
      "name": "Overextended RSI Exit (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ycs",
      "name": "Overextended RSI Exit (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_time",
      "name": "Time Stop at 60 Bars",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_fxy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ycs",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_fxy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ycs",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.56
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.12
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.56,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 2
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 14,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 3,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 14,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 3,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_fxy",
      "name": "Pullback-Reclaim Long: Reclaim 50-Day Support with Momentum Turn (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ycs",
      "name": "Pullback-Reclaim Long: Reclaim 50-Day Support with Momentum Turn (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_fxy",
      "name": "Overextended RSI Exit (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ycs",
      "name": "Overextended RSI Exit (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_time",
      "name": "Time Stop at 60 Bars",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_fxy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ycs",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_fxy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ycs",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.56
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.12
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.56,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 2
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Two forces are pushing the yen up at once: official US backing for a stronger yen, and safe-haven flows as oil tops $100 on the US-Iran conflict. When the Treasury Secretary openly backs the market direction traders are already betting on, betting against'. Thesis: Two forces are pushing the yen up at once: official US backing for a stronger yen, and safe-haven flows as oil tops $100 on the US-Iran conflict. When the Treasury Secretary openly backs the market direction traders are already betting on, betting against him is risky, while the oil-driven flight to safety adds fuel. That combination makes the yen's climb one of the more protected trends in the market right now.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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