Public trading strategy

Nvidia is trying to use its own computer chips as loan collateral for a half-tri

Thesis

Nvidia is trying to use its own computer chips as loan collateral for a half-trillion-dollar plan, but the underlying hardware ages out of date incredibly fast — a major long-term risk that Wall Street is starting to price in. This vulnerability is amplified by the fact that rival AMD just posted all-time best sales and the market completely shrugged it off. When a competitor crushes their numbers and the entire sector still sells off, it means expectations have become completely disconnected from reality. That combination of an exotic financing risk and exhausted buyer enthusiasm makes a contrarian short on Nvidia a high-reward setup into the late-summer season.

Markets and timeframes

AMDNVDA1D

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
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            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
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            "value": 70
          }
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        {
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    {
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            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_intc",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (INTC@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_amd",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_smh",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_avgo",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_intc",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (INTC@1d)",
      "priority": 104,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5323333333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.064666666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 1272,
      "risk_percent": 2.5323333333333333,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 21
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 21
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 21
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 21
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 21
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "RSI/ADX/EMA Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amd",
      "name": "RSI/ADX/EMA Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_smh",
      "name": "RSI/ADX/EMA Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "RSI/ADX/EMA Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_intc",
      "name": "RSI/ADX/EMA Crossover Long (INTC@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amd",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
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              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
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      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
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            "chart_ref": {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
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              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
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            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 21
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_avgo",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
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          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
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            },
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            "type": "indicator"
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          "operator": "crossed_above",
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            },
            "field": "signal",
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        },
        {
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          "operator": "less_than",
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        {
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            "field": "close",
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          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
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            "indicator": {
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            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
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          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
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          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_intc",
      "name": "MACD Crosses Above Exit (INTC@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
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              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amd",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_smh",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_intc",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (INTC@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_amd",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
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          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_smh",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_avgo",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:INTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_intc",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (INTC@1d)",
      "priority": 104,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:INTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.5323333333333333
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.064666666666667
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        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
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      "risk_percent": 2.5323333333333333,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
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    "min_position_value": 100
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Nvidia is trying to use its own computer chips as loan collateral for a half-trillion-dollar plan, but the underlying hardware ages out of date incredibly fast — a major long-term risk that Wall Street is starting to price in. This vulnerability is amplif'. Thesis: Nvidia is trying to use its own computer chips as loan collateral for a half-trillion-dollar plan, but the underlying hardware ages out of date incredibly fast — a major long-term risk that Wall Street is starting to price in. This vulnerability is amplified by the fact that rival AMD just posted all-time best sales and the market completely shrugged it off. When a competitor crushes their numbers and the entire sector still sells off, it means expectations have become completely disconnected from reality. That combination of an exotic financing risk and exhausted buyer enthusiasm makes a contrarian short on Nvidia a high-reward setup into the late-summer season.

How CommonQuant strategies work

  • Each strategy is generated from a plain-English thesis with fresh, LLM-selected news headlines, grounded in SEC XBRL fundamentals and peer percentiles.
  • The strategy is expressed in an auditable DSL checked by a real compiler, and passes an adversarial AI review before it can be published.
  • Every AI-generated strategy is automatically backtested over 12-month and 5-year windows (walk-forward tuned) and stress-tested across drawdowns and best/worst windows — it stays gated until that evidence run completes.
  • Once live, an AI news judge re-reads fresh headlines hourly and can conclude the campaign when they confirm the strategy’s thesis-invalidation conditions, notifying the owner and followers.

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