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Public trading strategy

Iran peace deal signals risk-on — position for Bitcoin momentum above $64K

Created

Thesis

Peace in the Middle East reduces uncertainty, which usually pushes investors toward riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has already broken above $64,000 on this news and is seeing strong inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, showing that large institutions are buying. If the peace deal is officially signed on Sunday as announced, this momentum is likely to continue into the new week as markets globally react to the reduced threat of conflict.

Strategy approach

Build a momentum strategy that enters long BTCUSDT on the H4 timeframe when price closes above the 20-day simple moving average and RSI(14) is between 50 and 70, signaling strengthening but not overbought momentum. Exit the position if the price closes below the 20-day SMA, or hold for a maximum of 10 days.

Markets and timeframes

BTCH4

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI/ADX Signal Long (BTC@4h) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@4h) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/ADX Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/ADX Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Iran peace deal signals risk-on — position for Bitcoin momentum above $64K'. Thesis: Peace in the Middle East reduces uncertainty, which usually pushes investors toward riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has already broken above $64,000 on this news and is seeing strong inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, showing that large institutions are buying. If the peace deal is officially signed on Sunday as announced, this momentum is likely to continue into the new week as markets globally react to the reduced threat of conflict.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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