A Cleveland Fed official just said it will take more than one rate hike to get i
Created
Thesis
A Cleveland Fed official just said it will take more than one rate hike to get inflation under control, and Morgan Stanley's top strategist says a hot inflation report on Wednesday will put the Fed in a terrible bind. On top of that, the new Fed Chair has already spooked Wall Street with a credibility problem, meaning markets may not trust whatever the Fed says next. Meanwhile, a prominent billionaire just warned that the massive borrowing the AI industry is doing could make the whole market crumble if rates keep rising. All of this sets up a scenario where the market is dangerously unprepared for a bad inflation number.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
NVDA · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV crossed below Price — unknown
- Price below EMA (20) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV crossed below Price — unknown
- RSI (14) below 30 — far
QQQ · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV crossed below Price — unknown
- Price below EMA (20) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV crossed below Price — unknown
- RSI (14) below 30 — far
SPY · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV crossed below Price — unknown
- Price below EMA (20) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV crossed below Price — unknown
- RSI (14) below 30 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SPY@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SPY@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (QQQ@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (SPY@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_qqq",
"name": "EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_spy",
"name": "EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SPY@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_nvda",
"name": "EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_qqq",
"name": "EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_spy",
"name": "EMA/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (SPY@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_nvda",
"name": "Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_qqq",
"name": "Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_spy",
"name": "Crossover Long (SPY@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_qqq",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_spy",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (SPY@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_qqq",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_spy",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SPY@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_qqq",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_spy",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SPY@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.488933333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.977866666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.488933333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A Cleveland Fed official just said it will take more than one rate hike to get inflation under control, and Morgan Stanley's top strategist says a hot inflation report on Wednesday will put the Fed in a terrible bind. On top of that, the new Fed Chair has'. Thesis: A Cleveland Fed official just said it will take more than one rate hike to get inflation under control, and Morgan Stanley's top strategist says a hot inflation report on Wednesday will put the Fed in a terrible bind. On top of that, the new Fed Chair has already spooked Wall Street with a credibility problem, meaning markets may not trust whatever the Fed says next. Meanwhile, a prominent billionaire just warned that the massive borrowing the AI industry is doing could make the whole market crumble if rates keep rising. All of this sets up a scenario where the market is dangerously unprepared for a bad inflation number.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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