Public trading strategy
A stock falling 16% after the company actually beat its numbers is one of the cl
Created
Thesis
A stock falling 16% after the company actually beat its numbers is one of the clearest signs of a Wall Street overreaction. When the headline number is good but the stock tanks anyway, it usually means short-term traders were disappointed by some minor detail — not that the business is broken. That kind of disconnect often resolves itself over the following weeks as cooler heads prevail. With Shopify's next earnings report landing on August 5, there is a natural catalyst for the market to re-evaluate the business on its merits. If the company beats expectations again, the recent pessimism could unwind quickly and reward investors who bought at the discounted price.
Strategy approach
A stock falling 16% after the company actually beat its numbers is one of the clearest signs of a Wall Street overreaction. When the headline number is good but the stock tanks anyway, it usually means short-term traders were disappointed by some minor detail — not that the business is broken. That kind of disconnect often resolves itself over the following weeks as cooler heads prevail. With Shopify's next earnings report landing on August 5, there is a natural catalyst for the market to re-evaluate the business on its merits. If the company beats expectations again, the recent pessimism could unwind quickly and reward investors who bought at the discounted price. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in,…
Markets and timeframes
SHOP1D
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
SHOP · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (9) — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- RSI (14) above 38 — met
- EMA (9) above EMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 72 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/RSI Signal Long (SHOP@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (SHOP@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SHOP@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SHOP@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 38
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/RSI Signal Long (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 38
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/RSI Signal Long (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SHOP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SHOP@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SHOP"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A stock falling 16% after the company actually beat its numbers is one of the clearest signs of a Wall Street overreaction. When the headline number is good but the stock tanks anyway, it usually means short-term traders were disappointed by some minor de'. Thesis: A stock falling 16% after the company actually beat its numbers is one of the clearest signs of a Wall Street overreaction. When the headline number is good but the stock tanks anyway, it usually means short-term traders were disappointed by some minor detail — not that the business is broken. That kind of disconnect often resolves itself over the following weeks as cooler heads prevail. With Shopify's next earnings report landing on August 5, there is a natural catalyst for the market to re-evaluate the business on its merits. If the company beats expectations again, the recent pessimism could unwind quickly and reward investors who bought at the discounted price.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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