Public trading strategy
Memory stocks dumped on glut fears while AI demand stays red hot — buy the Micro
Created
Thesis
Memory-chip stocks sold off sharply on supply-glut fears, sending Micron down 4% alongside SanDisk and Seagate. But the panic overlooks a critical divergence: AI demand is still accelerating, as shown by NVIDIA's new sovereign-AI partnership with Palantir, and Micron's own recent monster earnings report showed strength in exactly the high-end memory chips that AI requires. Furthermore, President Trump publicly praised Micron, and with the stock already up 209% on the year, political tailwind plus AI fundamentals make this selloff look like a short-term overreaction rather than a fundamental shift — setting up a potential bounce.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion long strategy on MU using the D1 timeframe. Enter when MU drops more than 3% in a single session on elevated volume (volume > 20-day average volume) while NVDA closes green on the same day. Exit on a 3% gain or a 5% stop loss. Max hold: 10 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -3 — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
- Price above Price — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
NVDA · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
- Price above Price — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oversold ROC/RSI/OBV Long (NVDA@1d) (6 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/OBV Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.6062000000000003,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Oversold ROC/RSI/OBV Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.6062000000000003,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Memory stocks dumped on glut fears while AI demand stays red hot — buy the Micron dip'. Thesis: Memory-chip stocks sold off sharply on supply-glut fears, sending Micron down 4% alongside SanDisk and Seagate. But the panic overlooks a critical divergence: AI demand is still accelerating, as shown by NVIDIA's new sovereign-AI partnership with Palantir, and Micron's own recent monster earnings report showed strength in exactly the high-end memory chips that AI requires. Furthermore, President Trump publicly praised Micron, and with the stock already up 209% on the year, political tailwind plus AI fundamentals make this selloff look like a short-term overreaction rather than a fundamental shift — setting up a potential bounce.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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