AEM Value Re-Rating with Pullback Entry Strategy
Created
Thesis
Northern Star's 9% pop after rejecting a $27 billion bid shows acquirers see deep value in gold miners even while gold itself dips on rate-hike fears (it fell over 1% the same weekend). When a company rises because a buyer confirms its worth, peers in the same industry often get re-rated too, since the market assumes more consolidation is coming. Buying strong miners while gold is temporarily weak lets you own the M&A story at a discount rather than chasing the bid. If more bids surface — or gold simply stabilizes — miners have two ways to win.
Strategy approach
Northern Star's 9% pop after rejecting a $27 billion bid shows acquirers see deep value in gold miners even while gold itself dips on rate-hike fears (it fell over 1% the same weekend). When a company rises because a buyer confirms its worth, peers in the same industry often get re-rated too, since the market assumes more consolidation is coming. Buying strong miners while gold is temporarily weak lets you own the M&A story at a discount rather than chasing the bid. If more bids surface — or gold simply stabilizes — miners have two ways to win. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AEM · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (9) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (50) — far
- RSI (14) crossed above 40 — far
GDX · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (9) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 40 — near
GOLD · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (9) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 40 — near
NEM · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (9) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 40 — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (AEM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (GDX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (GOLD@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (NEM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (AEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (GDX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (GOLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (NEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (GDX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (GOLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.2% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AEM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (GDX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (GOLD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (NEM@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aem",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (AEM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AEM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gdx",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (GDX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gold",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (GOLD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GOLD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nem",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI Crossover Long (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aem",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (AEM@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gdx",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (GDX@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gold",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (GOLD@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GOLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nem",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aem",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AEM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gdx",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GDX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gold",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GOLD@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GOLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nem",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.23
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.46
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_aem",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (AEM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AEM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_gdx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (GDX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_gold",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (GOLD@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GOLD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_nem",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (NEM@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:NEM"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.23,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 200
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GOLD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:NEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AEM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
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{
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"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Northern Star's 9% pop after rejecting a $27 billion bid shows acquirers see deep value in gold miners even while gold itself dips on rate-hike fears (it fell over 1% the same weekend). When a company rises because a buyer confirms its worth, peers in the'. Thesis: Northern Star's 9% pop after rejecting a $27 billion bid shows acquirers see deep value in gold miners even while gold itself dips on rate-hike fears (it fell over 1% the same weekend). When a company rises because a buyer confirms its worth, peers in the same industry often get re-rated too, since the market assumes more consolidation is coming. Buying strong miners while gold is temporarily weak lets you own the M&A story at a discount rather than chasing the bid. If more bids surface — or gold simply stabilizes — miners have two ways to win.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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