Public trading strategy
Oil prices crashing on US-Iran peace deal — load up on consumer stocks
Created
Thesis
Cheaper oil means lower costs for shipping, transportation, and everyday goods, which is great news for consumer-focused businesses that depend on people having extra money to spend. When the price of fuel drops this fast, retailers, airlines, and entertainment companies usually see their profit margins improve almost immediately. Because the market is initially distracted by the political side of the deal, the stock prices of these everyday companies haven't fully reflected how much money they are about to save. You can buy in while everyone else is still digesting the headline news.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long XLY (Consumer Discretionary ETF) on the daily timeframe when the 14-period RSI drops below 55 and price is above the 50-day SMA. Target a 2% profit and use a 3% stop loss, with a maximum hold of 15 days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: RSI/SMA Signal Long (XLY@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: RSI/SMA Signal Long (AMZN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 2.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xly",
"name": "RSI/SMA Signal Long (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "XLY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amzn",
"name": "RSI/SMA Signal Long (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMZN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 2.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 3,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xly",
"name": "RSI/SMA Signal Long (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "XLY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amzn",
"name": "RSI/SMA Signal Long (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMZN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 2.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 3,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oil prices crashing on US-Iran peace deal — load up on consumer stocks'. Thesis: Cheaper oil means lower costs for shipping, transportation, and everyday goods, which is great news for consumer-focused businesses that depend on people having extra money to spend. When the price of fuel drops this fast, retailers, airlines, and entertainment companies usually see their profit margins improve almost immediately. Because the market is initially distracted by the political side of the deal, the stock prices of these everyday companies haven't fully reflected how much money they are about to save. You can buy in while everyone else is still digesting the headline news.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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