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Public trading strategy

Peace deal hopes reopen Middle East luxury markets — buy the European fashion gi

Created

Thesis

A potential peace deal between the US and Iran signals calmer times ahead for the Middle East, which had become a critical growth region for luxury brands before the war disrupted business. LVMH and other European fashion houses saw their stocks spike nearly 5% immediately on the news. If an actual agreement is signed, these companies can fully restart their expansion into those wealthy markets, giving their revenues a major boost.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based long equity strategy for LVMH, Hermes (RMS), and Burberry (BRBY). Use the daily timeframe. Entry: Buy when the 5-day EMA crosses above the 20-day EMA and MACD histogram turns positive. Exit: 4% trailing stop or if price closes below the 20-day EMA for two consecutive days. Max hold 10 trading days.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/MACD Crossover Long (LVMUY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/MACD Crossover Long (HESAY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/MACD Crossover Long (BURBY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (LVMUY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (HESAY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (BURBY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (LVMUY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (HESAY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BURBY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (LVMUY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (HESAY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (BURBY@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "LVMUY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HESAY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BURBY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_lvmuy",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_hesay",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_burby",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "BURBY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_lvmuy",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0% (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_hesay",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0% (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_burby",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0% (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "BURBY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_lvmuy",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_hesay",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_burby",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "BURBY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_lvmuy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_hesay",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_burby",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "BURBY"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "LVMUY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HESAY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BURBY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_lvmuy",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_hesay",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_burby",
      "name": "EMA/MACD Crossover Long (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "BURBY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_lvmuy",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0% (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_hesay",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0% (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_burby",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0% (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "BURBY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "LVMUY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_lvmuy",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "HESAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_hesay",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BURBY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_burby",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "BURBY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_lvmuy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (LVMUY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "LVMUY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_hesay",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (HESAY@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "HESAY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_burby",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BURBY@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "BURBY"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Peace deal hopes reopen Middle East luxury markets — buy the European fashion giants'. Thesis: A potential peace deal between the US and Iran signals calmer times ahead for the Middle East, which had become a critical growth region for luxury brands before the war disrupted business. LVMH and other European fashion houses saw their stocks spike nearly 5% immediately on the news. If an actual agreement is signed, these companies can fully restart their expansion into those wealthy markets, giving their revenues a major boost.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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