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Public trading strategy

Nvidia's AI delays are crushing the stock — but Apple's $30B Broadcom deal signa

Created

Thesis

Nvidia's next-gen AI server rack is delayed until 2028 due to manufacturing problems, compounding a brutal $1 trillion slide in Nvidia's market value. Meanwhile, Apple just announced a $30 billion deal with Broadcom to produce chips in Colorado. The combination reveals a clear rotation: the AI spending boom isn't dying, but the money is pivoting away from Nvidia's delayed roadmap toward suppliers like Broadcom who can actually deliver. This is a classic 'winner stumbles, runner-up catches the baton' setup.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long AVGO on D1 when NVDA makes a new 60-day low while AVGO is within 5% of its 20-day high. Entry triggered by NVDA weakness contrasting with AVGO strength. Exit when AVGO drops below its 20-day average or after 30 days.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

AVGO · 1d

2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • RSI (14) below 50 — met
  • Price above Donchian (60) — far
  • RSI (14) above 45 — far
  • RSI (14) below 50 — met
  • Price above Donchian (60) — far
  • RSI (14) above 45 — far
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: RSI/DONCHIAN Signal Long (AVGO@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: RSI/DONCHIAN Signal Long (NVDA@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 30.0% (AVGO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 30.0% (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 60
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 60
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_avgo",
      "name": "Take Profit at 30.0% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "Take Profit at 30.0% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_avgo",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3564333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.712866666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.3564333333333334,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 60
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 60
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 60
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 60
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_avgo",
      "name": "Take Profit at 30.0% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "Take Profit at 30.0% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_avgo",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3564333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.712866666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.3564333333333334,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Nvidia's AI delays are crushing the stock — but Apple's $30B Broadcom deal signals the chip rotation trade'. Thesis: Nvidia's next-gen AI server rack is delayed until 2028 due to manufacturing problems, compounding a brutal $1 trillion slide in Nvidia's market value. Meanwhile, Apple just announced a $30 billion deal with Broadcom to produce chips in Colorado. The combination reveals a clear rotation: the AI spending boom isn't dying, but the money is pivoting away from Nvidia's delayed roadmap toward suppliers like Broadcom who can actually deliver. This is a classic 'winner stumbles, runner-up catches the baton' setup.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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