Public trading strategy
Berkshire's $1.6 billion position in a major bank is one of the clearest smart-m
Created
Thesis
Berkshire's $1.6 billion position in a major bank is one of the clearest smart-money signals in the market — Buffett is famous for buying large, liquid financials only when he believes they're undervalued. Retail investors and funds that track Berkshire's 13F filings often buy the same names in the weeks after the disclosure, creating a steady wave of buying pressure. The bet also implies confidence that the banking sector's fundamentals (loan growth, net interest income) are being underestimated by the broader market. Riding that follow-on flow rather than the initial announcement can capture the drift these disclosures historically produce.
Strategy approach
Berkshire's $1.6 billion position in a major bank is one of the clearest smart-money signals in the market — Buffett is famous for buying large, liquid financials only when he believes they're undervalued. Retail investors and funds that track Berkshire's 13F filings often buy the same names in the weeks after the disclosure, creating a steady wave of buying pressure. The bet also implies confidence that the banking sector's fundamentals (loan growth, net interest income) are being underestimated by the broader market. Riding that follow-on flow rather than the initial announcement can capture the drift these disclosures historically produce. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BAC · 1d
0 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above EMA (20) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- Price above EMA (20) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- RSI (14) above 72 — far
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- Price below EMA (20) — met
BRK-B · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
XLF · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) above 50 — near
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) above 50 — near
- RSI (14) above 72 — far
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- Price below EMA (20) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (BAC@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (BAC@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (BAC@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (BAC@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (XLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BAC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BAC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_bac",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (BAC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:BAC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xlf",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_bac",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (BAC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:BAC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_xlf",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/RSI Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_bac",
"name": "Crossover Long (BAC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:BAC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_xlf",
"name": "Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_bac",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (BAC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:BAC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 72
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xlf",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_bac",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BAC@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:BAC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xlf",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_bac",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BAC@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:BAC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BAC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Berkshire's $1.6 billion position in a major bank is one of the clearest smart-money signals in the market — Buffett is famous for buying large, liquid financials only when he believes they're undervalued. Retail investors and funds that track Berkshire's'. Thesis: Berkshire's $1.6 billion position in a major bank is one of the clearest smart-money signals in the market — Buffett is famous for buying large, liquid financials only when he believes they're undervalued. Retail investors and funds that track Berkshire's 13F filings often buy the same names in the weeks after the disclosure, creating a steady wave of buying pressure. The bet also implies confidence that the banking sector's fundamentals (loan growth, net interest income) are being underestimated by the broader market. Riding that follow-on flow rather than the initial announcement can capture the drift these disclosures historically produce.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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