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Public trading strategy

The stock market rallying on a bad inflation print is a classic sign that fear w

Created

Thesis

The stock market rallying on a bad inflation print is a classic sign that fear was already priced in — everyone braced for a hot number, so when it arrived there was no one left to sell. Nvidia rebounding and Oracle jumping on the same day shows buyers stepping back into the biggest, most rate-sensitive names, not just defensive pockets. If the market can absorb a near-86% chance of a rate hike next week without falling, the path of least resistance into and right after the Fed meeting is more likely up than down. This 'bad news, rising market' pattern historically marks short-term bottoms for broad indexes.

Strategy approach

The stock market rallying on a bad inflation print is a classic sign that fear was already priced in — everyone braced for a hot number, so when it arrived there was no one left to sell. Nvidia rebounding and Oracle jumping on the same day shows buyers stepping back into the biggest, most rate-sensitive names, not just defensive pockets. If the market can absorb a near-86% chance of a rate hike next week without falling, the path of least resistance into and right after the Fed meeting is more likely up than down. This 'bad news, rising market' pattern historically marks short-term bottoms for broad indexes. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility,…

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

QQQ · 1d

0 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price crossed above SMA (50) — near
  • RSI (14) crossed above 45 — far
  • Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — far
  • ADX (14) above 18 — far

SPY · 1d

0 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price crossed above SMA (50) — near
  • RSI (14) crossed above 45 — far
  • Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — near
  • ADX (14) above 18 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI/STOCHASTIC/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/STOCHASTIC/ADX Crossover Long (SPY@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/STOCHASTIC/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_spy",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/STOCHASTIC/ADX Crossover Long (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_spy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_spy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3657142857142857
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.731428571428571
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3657142857142857,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 14,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 3,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 14,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 3,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/STOCHASTIC/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "d",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 3,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_spy",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/STOCHASTIC/ADX Crossover Long (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_spy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_spy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3657142857142857
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.731428571428571
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3657142857142857,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The stock market rallying on a bad inflation print is a classic sign that fear was already priced in — everyone braced for a hot number, so when it arrived there was no one left to sell. Nvidia rebounding and Oracle jumping on the same day shows buyers st'. Thesis: The stock market rallying on a bad inflation print is a classic sign that fear was already priced in — everyone braced for a hot number, so when it arrived there was no one left to sell. Nvidia rebounding and Oracle jumping on the same day shows buyers stepping back into the biggest, most rate-sensitive names, not just defensive pockets. If the market can absorb a near-86% chance of a rate hike next week without falling, the path of least resistance into and right after the Fed meeting is more likely up than down. This 'bad news, rising market' pattern historically marks short-term bottoms for broad indexes.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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