Loading…
Public trading strategy

Oracle plunging on spending fears despite AI growth — catch the bounce on this c

Created

Thesis

Oracle's stock is dropping sharply due to fears about capital spending on data centers, overshadowing strong AI growth. However, Oracle remains a dominant player in enterprise software and cloud infrastructure with deep recurring revenue. When strong tech companies sell off abruptly on somewhat vague 'spending concern' fears, they often bounce back quickly once the panic subsides.

Strategy approach

Build a mean-reversion strategy for long ORCL on the daily (D1) timeframe. Entry: Price has dropped at least 8% over the last 3 days, and the 14-day RSI is below 30. Exit: Price retraces to the 20-day EMA, or a 5% stop loss is triggered.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Oversold ROC/RSI Long (ORCL@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Long Exit Rule (ORCL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "ORCL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold ROC/RSI Long (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "ORCL"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_retrace",
      "name": "TP: Long Exit Rule (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sl",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "ORCL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold ROC/RSI Long (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "ORCL"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ORCL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_retrace",
      "name": "TP: Long Exit Rule (ORCL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_sl",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oracle plunging on spending fears despite AI growth — catch the bounce on this cloud giant'. Thesis: Oracle's stock is dropping sharply due to fears about capital spending on data centers, overshadowing strong AI growth. However, Oracle remains a dominant player in enterprise software and cloud infrastructure with deep recurring revenue. When strong tech companies sell off abruptly on somewhat vague 'spending concern' fears, they often bounce back quickly once the panic subsides.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies