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Public trading strategy

Middle East peace deal opens shipping lanes — ride the relief rally in European

Created

Thesis

When global shipping lanes reopen and the threat of an oil price spike fades, countries that rely heavily on imported energy—like those in Europe—stand to benefit the most. Lower energy costs help bring down inflation and improve corporate profit margins. With European stocks already showing strength as stagflation risks ease, broad European stock funds offer a compelling way to ride this wave of improving economic optimism.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long VGK (Europe ETF) on H4 when price makes a new 20-day high and RSI(14) is between 50 and 70. Exit if the price drops below the 20-day EMA or after a 14-day holding period. Use a 4% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (VGK@4h) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (EZU@4h) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (VGK@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (EZU@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 14.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 4.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "VGK",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EZU",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_vgk",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (VGK@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "VGK"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ezu",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (EZU@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "EZU"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_vgk",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (VGK@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "VGK"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ezu",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (EZU@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EZU"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 14
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Take Profit at 14.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 4,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "VGK",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "EZU",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_vgk",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (VGK@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "VGK"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ezu",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (EZU@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "EZU"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "VGK",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_vgk",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (VGK@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "VGK"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "EZU",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ezu",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (EZU@4h)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "EZU"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 14
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Take Profit at 14.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 4,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Middle East peace deal opens shipping lanes — ride the relief rally in European stocks'. Thesis: When global shipping lanes reopen and the threat of an oil price spike fades, countries that rely heavily on imported energy—like those in Europe—stand to benefit the most. Lower energy costs help bring down inflation and improve corporate profit margins. With European stocks already showing strength as stagflation risks ease, broad European stock funds offer a compelling way to ride this wave of improving economic optimism.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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